Recent model consensus for Guangzhou indicates a peak temperature in the mid-30s Celsius on August 6, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, strong solar insolation, and variable afternoon convection. Scattered showers or increased cloud cover could limit daytime heating by reducing surface energy input, favoring the 36°C outcome, while clearer periods or delayed precipitation would allow temperatures to reach 37°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights ongoing uncertainty in convective timing and intensity, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities near 35–37°C. Historical August averages around 33°C provide context, but short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture will determine the exact maximum. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
37°C 39%
36°C 35%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
NOWE
$19,943 Wol.
NOWE
$19,943 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
13%
36°C
35%
37°C
39%
38°C
9%
39°C or higher
2%
37°C 39%
36°C 35%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
NOWE
$19,943 Wol.
NOWE
$19,943 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$395 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$374 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$343 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$723 Wol.
1%
33°C
$291 Wol.
2%
34°C
$581 Wol.
5%
35°C
$996 Wol.
13%
36°C
$9,912 Wol.
35%
37°C
$2,838 Wol.
39%
38°C
$2,054 Wol.
9%
39°C or higher
$1,437 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Guangzhou indicates a peak temperature in the mid-30s Celsius on August 6, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, strong solar insolation, and variable afternoon convection. Scattered showers or increased cloud cover could limit daytime heating by reducing surface energy input, favoring the 36°C outcome, while clearer periods or delayed precipitation would allow temperatures to reach 37°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights ongoing uncertainty in convective timing and intensity, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities near 35–37°C. Historical August averages around 33°C provide context, but short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture will determine the exact maximum. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,943Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Guangzhou indicates a peak temperature in the mid-30s Celsius on August 6, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, strong solar insolation, and variable afternoon convection. Scattered showers or increased cloud cover could limit daytime heating by reducing surface energy input, favoring the 36°C outcome, while clearer periods or delayed precipitation would allow temperatures to reach 37°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights ongoing uncertainty in convective timing and intensity, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities near 35–37°C. Historical August averages around 33°C provide context, but short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture will determine the exact maximum. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$19,943Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for Guangzhou indicates a peak temperature in the mid-30s Celsius on August 6, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, strong solar insolation, and variable afternoon convection. Scattered showers or increased cloud cover could limit daytime heating by reducing surface energy input, favoring the 36°C outcome, while clearer periods or delayed precipitation would allow temperatures to reach 37°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights ongoing uncertainty in convective timing and intensity, consistent with the closely matched market-implied probabilities near 35–37°C. Historical August averages around 33°C provide context, but short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture will determine the exact maximum. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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