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Republican Party predictions & odds

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Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

15%

$12.2K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

12%

$4.7K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

77%

Thomas Massie

$498K Vol.

$77.9K Liq.

35

Ends in 15 days

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

56%

Ken Paxton

$16M Vol.

$128K Liq.

1

Ends in 22 days

Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner

Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner

97%

Andy Barr

$169K Vol.

$76.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

54%

David Brock Smith

$82.2K Vol.

$79.3K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner

100%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$1M Vol.

$93.8K Liq.

11

Ends in 1 day

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner

39%

Alan Wilson

$28.6K Vol.

$55.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

47%

Genter Drummond

$257K Vol.

$72.8K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

85%

Byron Donalds

$1M Vol.

$120K Liq.

46

Ends in 4 months

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

88%

Derek Merrin

$26.1K Vol.

$47.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 1 day

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

53%

Julia Letlow

$246K Vol.

$123K Liq.

3

Ends in 12 days

Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner

Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner

100%

Tommy Tuberville

$30.3K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner

59%

Rick Jackson

$413K Vol.

$75.6K Liq.

11

Ends in 15 days

Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner

Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner

79%

Michele Tafoya

$82.2K Vol.

$76.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner

South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner

59%

Dusty Johnson

$54.4K Vol.

$61.6K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner

Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner

85%

Raymond McKay

$15.2K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

65%

Greg Hull

$822K Vol.

$60.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 29 days

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

57%

Perry Johnson

$31.5K Vol.

$46.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner

Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner

96%

Mark Baisley

$18.0K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Republican Party.

Polymarket currently hosts 1218 active markets for Republican Party that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $21.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to Ken Paxton. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Republican Party predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.