Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast range of 27–29°C maximum for Mexico City on April 17, driven by persistent dry-season high pressure and ample solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where temperatures typically peak in the late afternoon. Closely matched probabilities for 28°C (27.5%), 29°C (32%), and 30°C (24.5%) stem from model ensemble uncertainty—GFS and regional models diverge on afternoon cloud cover from isolated chubascos, potentially capping peaks at 28°C, while clearer skies and urban heat island effects could push toward 29–30°C. Recent SMN updates over the past 48 hours have narrowed prior 26–28°C ranges upward amid light southerly winds, with final clarity from evening soundings and tomorrow's hourly observations. Historical April averages hover at 26°C, underscoring the tight contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 32%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
31°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
24%
29°C
32%
30°C
25%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
31°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
$967 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,512 Vol.
2%
27°C
$814 Vol.
7%
28°C
$286 Vol.
24%
29°C
$321 Vol.
32%
30°C
$179 Vol.
25%
31°C
$404 Vol.
9%
32°C
$719 Vol.
3%
33°C
$639 Vol.
1%
34°C
$627 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$2,086 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast range of 27–29°C maximum for Mexico City on April 17, driven by persistent dry-season high pressure and ample solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where temperatures typically peak in the late afternoon. Closely matched probabilities for 28°C (27.5%), 29°C (32%), and 30°C (24.5%) stem from model ensemble uncertainty—GFS and regional models diverge on afternoon cloud cover from isolated chubascos, potentially capping peaks at 28°C, while clearer skies and urban heat island effects could push toward 29–30°C. Recent SMN updates over the past 48 hours have narrowed prior 26–28°C ranges upward amid light southerly winds, with final clarity from evening soundings and tomorrow's hourly observations. Historical April averages hover at 26°C, underscoring the tight contest.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volume
$9,554Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast range of 27–29°C maximum for Mexico City on April 17, driven by persistent dry-season high pressure and ample solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where temperatures typically peak in the late afternoon. Closely matched probabilities for 28°C (27.5%), 29°C (32%), and 30°C (24.5%) stem from model ensemble uncertainty—GFS and regional models diverge on afternoon cloud cover from isolated chubascos, potentially capping peaks at 28°C, while clearer skies and urban heat island effects could push toward 29–30°C. Recent SMN updates over the past 48 hours have narrowed prior 26–28°C ranges upward amid light southerly winds, with final clarity from evening soundings and tomorrow's hourly observations. Historical April averages hover at 26°C, underscoring the tight contest.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,554Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast range of 27–29°C maximum for Mexico City on April 17, driven by persistent dry-season high pressure and ample solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where temperatures typically peak in the late afternoon. Closely matched probabilities for 28°C (27.5%), 29°C (32%), and 30°C (24.5%) stem from model ensemble uncertainty—GFS and regional models diverge on afternoon cloud cover from isolated chubascos, potentially capping peaks at 28°C, while clearer skies and urban heat island effects could push toward 29–30°C. Recent SMN updates over the past 48 hours have narrowed prior 26–28°C ranges upward amid light southerly winds, with final clarity from evening soundings and tomorrow's hourly observations. Historical April averages hover at 26°C, underscoring the tight contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions