National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF models project a high temperature around 63-67°F in New York City on April 5, driving trader sentiment toward the 67°F or below outcome at 66.5% implied probability. This aligns with early April climatological normals near 56°F at Central Park, but above-normal temperatures favored in seasonal outlooks amid lingering La Niña influences on jet stream patterns. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with potential for slight warming or cooling based on evolving upper-air dynamics; higher bins like 68-69°F at 20% reflect outlier runs. Traders await daily forecast updates from NOAA, which could refine probabilities as resolution nears at LaGuardia Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on April 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 5?
67°F or below 67%
68-69°F 20%
70-71°F 7%
72-73°F 4.5%
NOVO
$14,641 Vol.
NOVO
$14,641 Vol.
5 abr 2026
67°F or below
67%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 67%
68-69°F 20%
70-71°F 7%
72-73°F 4.5%
NOVO
$14,641 Vol.
NOVO
$14,641 Vol.
5 abr 2026
67°F or below
$1,980 Vol.
67%
68-69°F
$1,593 Vol.
20%
70-71°F
$1,077 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$865 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$915 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$1,652 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,806 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,347 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$901 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,332 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF models project a high temperature around 63-67°F in New York City on April 5, driving trader sentiment toward the 67°F or below outcome at 66.5% implied probability. This aligns with early April climatological normals near 56°F at Central Park, but above-normal temperatures favored in seasonal outlooks amid lingering La Niña influences on jet stream patterns. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with potential for slight warming or cooling based on evolving upper-air dynamics; higher bins like 68-69°F at 20% reflect outlier runs. Traders await daily forecast updates from NOAA, which could refine probabilities as resolution nears at LaGuardia Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$14,641Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF models project a high temperature around 63-67°F in New York City on April 5, driving trader sentiment toward the 67°F or below outcome at 66.5% implied probability. This aligns with early April climatological normals near 56°F at Central Park, but above-normal temperatures favored in seasonal outlooks amid lingering La Niña influences on jet stream patterns. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with potential for slight warming or cooling based on evolving upper-air dynamics; higher bins like 68-69°F at 20% reflect outlier runs. Traders await daily forecast updates from NOAA, which could refine probabilities as resolution nears at LaGuardia Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,641Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF models project a high temperature around 63-67°F in New York City on April 5, driving trader sentiment toward the 67°F or below outcome at 66.5% implied probability. This aligns with early April climatological normals near 56°F at Central Park, but above-normal temperatures favored in seasonal outlooks amid lingering La Niña influences on jet stream patterns. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with potential for slight warming or cooling based on evolving upper-air dynamics; higher bins like 68-69°F at 20% reflect outlier runs. Traders await daily forecast updates from NOAA, which could refine probabilities as resolution nears at LaGuardia Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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