Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 16 morning, projects a 21°C maximum temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 17 under sunny skies following early clouds and zero precipitation risk, yet trader consensus via Polymarket odds heavily favors 19°C (36.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 18°C (31.5%), highlighting model ensemble uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS runs clustering 18–20°C amid lingering upper-air trough influences and potential sea breeze effects that often moderate coastal highs. Mid-April climatological normals hover near 20°C, with recent days featuring variable cloud cover; a JMA evening update and afternoon observations could refine this tight race before resolution based on official Haneda measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 17 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 17 de abril?
19°C 37%
18°C 31%
17°C 16%
20°C 14%
$25,767 Vol.
$25,767 Vol.
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
16%
18°C
31%
19°C
37%
20°C
14%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
1%
19°C 37%
18°C 31%
17°C 16%
20°C 14%
$25,767 Vol.
$25,767 Vol.
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
16%
18°C
31%
19°C
37%
20°C
14%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 16 morning, projects a 21°C maximum temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 17 under sunny skies following early clouds and zero precipitation risk, yet trader consensus via Polymarket odds heavily favors 19°C (36.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 18°C (31.5%), highlighting model ensemble uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS runs clustering 18–20°C amid lingering upper-air trough influences and potential sea breeze effects that often moderate coastal highs. Mid-April climatological normals hover near 20°C, with recent days featuring variable cloud cover; a JMA evening update and afternoon observations could refine this tight race before resolution based on official Haneda measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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