Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader sentiment toward a 15°C high in Warsaw on April 17, with 38.5% implied probability, as models converge on 14-16°C maxima amid partly cloudy skies and mild westerly flow promoting diurnal heating. BBC Weather and meteoblue multi-model consensus pinpoint 15°C, while AccuWeather edges toward 17°C; recent overnight runs have narrowed uncertainty from broader spreads seen 48 hours ago, reflecting stable upper-air patterns and light winds. April climatology averages 13°C highs at Chopin Airport station, but current setup favors above-normal temps from Atlantic warmth. Key variables include cloud cover timing and peak-hour sunshine, with hourly IMGW updates potentially shifting outcomes by 1°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 40%
14°C 22%
16°C 15%
13°C 9.2%
NOVO
$16,651 Vol.
NOVO
$16,651 Vol.
17 abr 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
9%
14°C
22%
15°C
40%
16°C
15%
17°C or higher
7%
15°C 40%
14°C 22%
16°C 15%
13°C 9.2%
NOVO
$16,651 Vol.
NOVO
$16,651 Vol.
17 abr 2026
7°C or below
$1,001 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,438 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,006 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$3,257 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,627 Vol.
1%
12°C
$948 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,995 Vol.
9%
14°C
$955 Vol.
22%
15°C
$761 Vol.
40%
16°C
$1,240 Vol.
15%
17°C or higher
$1,430 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader sentiment toward a 15°C high in Warsaw on April 17, with 38.5% implied probability, as models converge on 14-16°C maxima amid partly cloudy skies and mild westerly flow promoting diurnal heating. BBC Weather and meteoblue multi-model consensus pinpoint 15°C, while AccuWeather edges toward 17°C; recent overnight runs have narrowed uncertainty from broader spreads seen 48 hours ago, reflecting stable upper-air patterns and light winds. April climatology averages 13°C highs at Chopin Airport station, but current setup favors above-normal temps from Atlantic warmth. Key variables include cloud cover timing and peak-hour sunshine, with hourly IMGW updates potentially shifting outcomes by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$16,651Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader sentiment toward a 15°C high in Warsaw on April 17, with 38.5% implied probability, as models converge on 14-16°C maxima amid partly cloudy skies and mild westerly flow promoting diurnal heating. BBC Weather and meteoblue multi-model consensus pinpoint 15°C, while AccuWeather edges toward 17°C; recent overnight runs have narrowed uncertainty from broader spreads seen 48 hours ago, reflecting stable upper-air patterns and light winds. April climatology averages 13°C highs at Chopin Airport station, but current setup favors above-normal temps from Atlantic warmth. Key variables include cloud cover timing and peak-hour sunshine, with hourly IMGW updates potentially shifting outcomes by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,651Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader sentiment toward a 15°C high in Warsaw on April 17, with 38.5% implied probability, as models converge on 14-16°C maxima amid partly cloudy skies and mild westerly flow promoting diurnal heating. BBC Weather and meteoblue multi-model consensus pinpoint 15°C, while AccuWeather edges toward 17°C; recent overnight runs have narrowed uncertainty from broader spreads seen 48 hours ago, reflecting stable upper-air patterns and light winds. April climatology averages 13°C highs at Chopin Airport station, but current setup favors above-normal temps from Atlantic warmth. Key variables include cloud cover timing and peak-hour sunshine, with hourly IMGW updates potentially shifting outcomes by 1°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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