Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters around 25°C (31.5% implied probability) as Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre projecting peaks near 24°C amid sunny conditions and strengthening southerly winds. A recent cool-down to 17-18°C on April 13, driven by persistent northerly flows, has shifted with high-pressure ridging over the past 48 hours, aligning with mid-April climatological highs of 22-23°C. High uncertainty stems from model divergences—ECMWF ensembles show spread due to potential cloud cover or wind variability—potentially capping at 23°C or exceeding 26°C; resolution awaits official Beijing Observatory measurements at day's end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
25°C 34%
23°C 16%
24°C 16%
22°C 11%
НОВОЕ
$23,570 Объем
НОВОЕ
$23,570 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
16%
24°C
16%
25°C
34%
26°C
10%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
23°C 16%
24°C 16%
22°C 11%
НОВОЕ
$23,570 Объем
НОВОЕ
$23,570 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$3,335 Объем
3%
22°C
$2,737 Объем
11%
23°C
$2,478 Объем
16%
24°C
$1,950 Объем
16%
25°C
$1,173 Объем
34%
26°C
$2,464 Объем
10%
27°C
$1,557 Объем
3%
28°C
$2,676 Объем
1%
29°C
$2,062 Объем
1%
30°C
$1,720 Объем
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,588 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters around 25°C (31.5% implied probability) as Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre projecting peaks near 24°C amid sunny conditions and strengthening southerly winds. A recent cool-down to 17-18°C on April 13, driven by persistent northerly flows, has shifted with high-pressure ridging over the past 48 hours, aligning with mid-April climatological highs of 22-23°C. High uncertainty stems from model divergences—ECMWF ensembles show spread due to potential cloud cover or wind variability—potentially capping at 23°C or exceeding 26°C; resolution awaits official Beijing Observatory measurements at day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ET
Объем
$23,570Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters around 25°C (31.5% implied probability) as Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre projecting peaks near 24°C amid sunny conditions and strengthening southerly winds. A recent cool-down to 17-18°C on April 13, driven by persistent northerly flows, has shifted with high-pressure ridging over the past 48 hours, aligning with mid-April climatological highs of 22-23°C. High uncertainty stems from model divergences—ECMWF ensembles show spread due to potential cloud cover or wind variability—potentially capping at 23°C or exceeding 26°C; resolution awaits official Beijing Observatory measurements at day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$23,570Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters around 25°C (31.5% implied probability) as Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre projecting peaks near 24°C amid sunny conditions and strengthening southerly winds. A recent cool-down to 17-18°C on April 13, driven by persistent northerly flows, has shifted with high-pressure ridging over the past 48 hours, aligning with mid-April climatological highs of 22-23°C. High uncertainty stems from model divergences—ECMWF ensembles show spread due to potential cloud cover or wind variability—potentially capping at 23°C or exceeding 26°C; resolution awaits official Beijing Observatory measurements at day's end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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