Trader consensus clusters around 78-81°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing upper 70s to low 80s amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest advecting warm air via gusty southwest winds up to 28 mph. Recent record warmth—81°F on April 12 and 82°F on April 14, shattering the 59°F climatological average—has reinforced this pattern, though a 95% chance of showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty in peak afternoon heating and cloud cover. Model spreads capture the razor-thin differences differentiating leading outcomes, with overnight GFS and ECMWF updates poised to refine probabilities before official O'Hare Airport observations resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 17?
80-81°F 25%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 15%
82-83°F 15%
НОВОЕ
$11,303 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,303 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F или выше
1%
80-81°F 25%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 15%
82-83°F 15%
НОВОЕ
$11,303 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,303 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
$5,276 Объем
1%
72-73°F
$910 Объем
2%
74-75°F
$832 Объем
5%
76-77°F
$600 Объем
15%
78-79°F
$587 Объем
29%
80-81°F
$532 Объем
25%
82-83°F
$761 Объем
15%
84-85°F
$550 Объем
11%
86-87°F
$460 Объем
3%
88-89°F
$488 Объем
2%
90°F или выше
$508 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 78-81°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing upper 70s to low 80s amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest advecting warm air via gusty southwest winds up to 28 mph. Recent record warmth—81°F on April 12 and 82°F on April 14, shattering the 59°F climatological average—has reinforced this pattern, though a 95% chance of showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty in peak afternoon heating and cloud cover. Model spreads capture the razor-thin differences differentiating leading outcomes, with overnight GFS and ECMWF updates poised to refine probabilities before official O'Hare Airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Объем
$11,303Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 78-81°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing upper 70s to low 80s amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest advecting warm air via gusty southwest winds up to 28 mph. Recent record warmth—81°F on April 12 and 82°F on April 14, shattering the 59°F climatological average—has reinforced this pattern, though a 95% chance of showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty in peak afternoon heating and cloud cover. Model spreads capture the razor-thin differences differentiating leading outcomes, with overnight GFS and ECMWF updates poised to refine probabilities before official O'Hare Airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$11,303Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 78-81°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs showing upper 70s to low 80s amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest advecting warm air via gusty southwest winds up to 28 mph. Recent record warmth—81°F on April 12 and 82°F on April 14, shattering the 59°F climatological average—has reinforced this pattern, though a 95% chance of showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty in peak afternoon heating and cloud cover. Model spreads capture the razor-thin differences differentiating leading outcomes, with overnight GFS and ECMWF updates poised to refine probabilities before official O'Hare Airport observations resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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