Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44.5% implied probability for a 20°C high in Ankara today, edging out 19°C at 35.5%, reflecting tight forecast model agreement from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting afternoon peaks near 20°C amid high pressure and increasing solar insolation. Current morning observations at Esenboğa Airport show temperatures around 8–11°C under partly cloudy skies, with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance indicating potential for 19–21°C if clouds thin further, versus 18–19°C if persistent overcast limits heating. Continental spring variability, including light southerly winds and recent shower clearance, heightens uncertainty; hourly MGM updates through afternoon will refine the peak, resolving via official airport measurements. Historical April averages hover at 17°C, underscoring today's above-normal warmth.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 15?
20°C 44%
19°C 36%
18°C 16%
21°C 7.1%
$46,095 Объем
$46,095 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
16%
19°C
36%
20°C
44%
21°C
7%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 44%
19°C 36%
18°C 16%
21°C 7.1%
$46,095 Объем
$46,095 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$8,756 Объем
<1%
14°C
$2,652 Объем
<1%
15°C
$4,187 Объем
<1%
16°C
$3,468 Объем
<1%
17°C
$5,783 Объем
1%
18°C
$5,274 Объем
16%
19°C
$5,166 Объем
36%
20°C
$2,878 Объем
44%
21°C
$4,016 Объем
7%
22°C
$2,298 Объем
1%
23°C or higher
$2,032 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44.5% implied probability for a 20°C high in Ankara today, edging out 19°C at 35.5%, reflecting tight forecast model agreement from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting afternoon peaks near 20°C amid high pressure and increasing solar insolation. Current morning observations at Esenboğa Airport show temperatures around 8–11°C under partly cloudy skies, with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance indicating potential for 19–21°C if clouds thin further, versus 18–19°C if persistent overcast limits heating. Continental spring variability, including light southerly winds and recent shower clearance, heightens uncertainty; hourly MGM updates through afternoon will refine the peak, resolving via official airport measurements. Historical April averages hover at 17°C, underscoring today's above-normal warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Объем
$46,095Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44.5% implied probability for a 20°C high in Ankara today, edging out 19°C at 35.5%, reflecting tight forecast model agreement from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting afternoon peaks near 20°C amid high pressure and increasing solar insolation. Current morning observations at Esenboğa Airport show temperatures around 8–11°C under partly cloudy skies, with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance indicating potential for 19–21°C if clouds thin further, versus 18–19°C if persistent overcast limits heating. Continental spring variability, including light southerly winds and recent shower clearance, heightens uncertainty; hourly MGM updates through afternoon will refine the peak, resolving via official airport measurements. Historical April averages hover at 17°C, underscoring today's above-normal warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$46,095Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44.5% implied probability for a 20°C high in Ankara today, edging out 19°C at 35.5%, reflecting tight forecast model agreement from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting afternoon peaks near 20°C amid high pressure and increasing solar insolation. Current morning observations at Esenboğa Airport show temperatures around 8–11°C under partly cloudy skies, with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) guidance indicating potential for 19–21°C if clouds thin further, versus 18–19°C if persistent overcast limits heating. Continental spring variability, including light southerly winds and recent shower clearance, heightens uncertainty; hourly MGM updates through afternoon will refine the peak, resolving via official airport measurements. Historical April averages hover at 17°C, underscoring today's above-normal warmth.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы