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Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?

апр. 15

апр. 16

апр. 15

апр. 16

15°C 32%

14°C 29%

16°C or higher 26%

13°C 14.7%

Polymarket

$47,909 Объем

15°C 32%

14°C 29%

16°C or higher 26%

13°C 14.7%

Polymarket

$47,909 Объем

8°C

$1,473 Объем

<1%

9°C

$3,271 Объем

1%

10°C

$3,013 Объем

<1%

11°C

$2,284 Объем

<1%

12°C

$6,879 Объем

3%

13°C

$7,166 Объем

15%

14°C

$4,879 Объем

29%

15°C

$4,240 Объем

32%

16°C or higher

$6,916 Объем

26%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (31%), 14°C (27.5%), and 16°C or higher (26%), driven by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts indicating a mild southerly airflow shift after April 14's cool 11°C high amid northerly showers and overcast skies at Munich Airport station—the official resolution site. Current morning observations show 8°C under heavy cloud cover, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting afternoon highs of 13-15°C, though persistent low clouds could cap at 14°C while brief insolation breaks might push toward 16°C via enhanced surface heating. Mid-April climatology averages 13-14°C highs, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloudiness and light gusts (11-21 km/h); real-time DWD updates this afternoon will clarify the peak.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$47,909
Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (31%), 14°C (27.5%), and 16°C or higher (26%), driven by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts indicating a mild southerly airflow shift after April 14's cool 11°C high amid northerly showers and overcast skies at Munich Airport station—the official resolution site. Current morning observations show 8°C under heavy cloud cover, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting afternoon highs of 13-15°C, though persistent low clouds could cap at 14°C while brief insolation breaks might push toward 16°C via enhanced surface heating. Mid-April climatology averages 13-14°C highs, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloudiness and light gusts (11-21 km/h); real-time DWD updates this afternoon will clarify the peak.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$47,909
Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «15°C» с 32%, за ним следует «14°C» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 32¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 32%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $47.9K с момента запуска рынка Apr 13, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?» — «15°C» с 32%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 32%. Следующий ближайший исход — «14°C» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.