Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 82-85°F for Dallas's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest guidance projecting mid-80s highs amid a southward high-pressure ridge promoting above-normal warmth consistent with NOAA's spring outlook for persistent drought-enhanced heating. WFAA forecasts pinpoint 85°F with SSE winds at 15 mph and minimal cloud cover early, fostering strong daytime insolation, while slight model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs—accounting for potential afternoon cloud buildup ahead of an incoming cold front—differentiates 82-83°F (25.5% implied probability) from 84-85°F (28.5%), with 80-81°F viable if mixing is limited. Monitor NWS updates through evening for refined boundary layer projections resolving near 83°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 17 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Далласе 17 апреля?
84-85°F 29%
82-83°F 24%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 12%
$10,480 Объем
$10,480 Объем
77°F или ниже
5%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F или выше
<1%
84-85°F 29%
82-83°F 24%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 12%
$10,480 Объем
$10,480 Объем
77°F или ниже
5%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 82-85°F for Dallas's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest guidance projecting mid-80s highs amid a southward high-pressure ridge promoting above-normal warmth consistent with NOAA's spring outlook for persistent drought-enhanced heating. WFAA forecasts pinpoint 85°F with SSE winds at 15 mph and minimal cloud cover early, fostering strong daytime insolation, while slight model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs—accounting for potential afternoon cloud buildup ahead of an incoming cold front—differentiates 82-83°F (25.5% implied probability) from 84-85°F (28.5%), with 80-81°F viable if mixing is limited. Monitor NWS updates through evening for refined boundary layer projections resolving near 83°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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