Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 38°C high in Jeddah at 31% implied probability, closely trailed by 39°C (25.5%) and 40°C (18.5%), reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid rising seasonal heat. Recent observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 32°C on April 14 under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies, pushing above the mid-April climatological average of 35°C. Differentiating factors include model consensus on peak afternoon heating around 2-4 p.m. local time, tempered by Red Sea sea-breeze potential that could cap at 37°C or allow 40°C if winds weaken; uncertainty stems from minor cloud development risks. Watch National Center of Meteorology updates and tomorrow's hourly observations for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
38°C 32%
39°C 26%
37°C 18%
36°C 8%
33°C or below
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
7%
36°C
8%
37°C
18%
38°C
32%
39°C
26%
40°C
16%
41°C
6%
42°C
3%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 32%
39°C 26%
37°C 18%
36°C 8%
33°C or below
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
7%
36°C
8%
37°C
18%
38°C
32%
39°C
26%
40°C
16%
41°C
6%
42°C
3%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 38°C high in Jeddah at 31% implied probability, closely trailed by 39°C (25.5%) and 40°C (18.5%), reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid rising seasonal heat. Recent observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport show temperatures climbing from 32°C on April 14 under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies, pushing above the mid-April climatological average of 35°C. Differentiating factors include model consensus on peak afternoon heating around 2-4 p.m. local time, tempered by Red Sea sea-breeze potential that could cap at 37°C or allow 40°C if winds weaken; uncertainty stems from minor cloud development risks. Watch National Center of Meteorology updates and tomorrow's hourly observations for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы