Trader consensus favors a high of 60-61°F in New York City on March 27 at 29.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service and ECMWF model runs projecting mild conditions from a ridge of high pressure building over the Northeast. GFS ensembles show a tight cluster around 60-65°F, boosted by warm southerly winds and above-normal sea surface temperatures off the Atlantic coast. Lower odds for 58-59°F (17%) or 62-63°F (17.5%) reflect uncertainty in frontal timing, with potential cold snaps from lingering Canadian air masses pushing cooler outcomes like 56-57°F (11%). Extremes like 68°F+ (6.2%) or below 49°F (1.8%) hinge on jet stream anomalies, underscoring spring volatility confirmed by historical March data averaging 52°F highs. Key resolution watch: Central Park Observatory measurement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on March 27?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?
60-61°F 30%
62-63°F 18%
58-59°F 17%
56-57°F 11%
$11,665 Объем
$11,665 Объем
49°F или ниже
2%
50-51°F
2%
52-53°F
1%
54–55°F
5%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
30%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
7%
68°F or higher
6%
60-61°F 30%
62-63°F 18%
58-59°F 17%
56-57°F 11%
$11,665 Объем
$11,665 Объем
49°F или ниже
2%
50-51°F
2%
52-53°F
1%
54–55°F
5%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
30%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
7%
68°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 60-61°F in New York City on March 27 at 29.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service and ECMWF model runs projecting mild conditions from a ridge of high pressure building over the Northeast. GFS ensembles show a tight cluster around 60-65°F, boosted by warm southerly winds and above-normal sea surface temperatures off the Atlantic coast. Lower odds for 58-59°F (17%) or 62-63°F (17.5%) reflect uncertainty in frontal timing, with potential cold snaps from lingering Canadian air masses pushing cooler outcomes like 56-57°F (11%). Extremes like 68°F+ (6.2%) or below 49°F (1.8%) hinge on jet stream anomalies, underscoring spring volatility confirmed by historical March data averaging 52°F highs. Key resolution watch: Central Park Observatory measurement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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