Latest NOAA forecast ensembles from the GFS and ECMWF models project Seattle's highest temperature on March 27 at 55-57°F, fueling trader sentiment with 33.5% odds on 56-57°F narrowly edging 54-55°F at 30%, as minor differences in boundary layer mixing and Puget Sound marine influence create razor-thin uncertainty. Recent 12z model runs show a weak high-pressure ridge stabilizing, nudging probabilities upward from cooler 52-53°F outcomes, while historical March 27 averages around 56°F at Sea-Tac Airport align closely. Cloud cover variability and diurnal heating thresholds further differentiate the leading bins, with official NWS observations resolving the market. Traders eye tomorrow's 00z updates for potential shifts amid typical spring forecast divergence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 27 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 27 марта?
56-57°F 32%
54–55°F 30%
52-53°F 15%
58-59°F 14%
45°F или ниже
1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
15%
54–55°F
30%
56-57°F
32%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
5%
62–63°F
5%
64°F или выше
<1%
56-57°F 32%
54–55°F 30%
52-53°F 15%
58-59°F 14%
45°F или ниже
1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
15%
54–55°F
30%
56-57°F
32%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
5%
62–63°F
5%
64°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA forecast ensembles from the GFS and ECMWF models project Seattle's highest temperature on March 27 at 55-57°F, fueling trader sentiment with 33.5% odds on 56-57°F narrowly edging 54-55°F at 30%, as minor differences in boundary layer mixing and Puget Sound marine influence create razor-thin uncertainty. Recent 12z model runs show a weak high-pressure ridge stabilizing, nudging probabilities upward from cooler 52-53°F outcomes, while historical March 27 averages around 56°F at Sea-Tac Airport align closely. Cloud cover variability and diurnal heating thresholds further differentiate the leading bins, with official NWS observations resolving the market. Traders eye tomorrow's 00z updates for potential shifts amid typical spring forecast divergence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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