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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?

апр. 16

апр. 17

апр. 16

апр. 17

29°C 32%

30°C 26%

28°C 21%

27°C 9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$13,630 Объем

29°C 32%

30°C 26%

28°C 21%

27°C 9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$13,630 Объем

22°C or below

$1,281 Объем

<1%

23°C

$2,359 Объем

<1%

24°C

$1,532 Объем

<1%

25°C

$1,793 Объем

1%

26°C

$1,615 Объем

4%

27°C

$648 Объем

9%

28°C

$541 Объем

21%

29°C

$380 Объем

32%

30°C

$1,164 Объем

26%

31°C

$1,689 Объем

7%

32°C or higher

$718 Объем

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in ensemble weather model forecasts for Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's highest temperature on April 17, with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 28–30°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting warm advection from the north. Differentiating factors include varying predictions on afternoon sea-breeze development, which could cap highs at 28°C via coastal cooling, versus urban heat island effects and partial sun pushing toward 30°C; light southerly winds around 10–15 km/h add minor uncertainty. Recent observations show today's high near 29°C amid partly cloudy skies, aligning with climatological mid-April norms of 26–27°C but elevated by the persistent ridge. Watch evening CMA updates and 00Z model runs for potential shifts before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$13,630
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in ensemble weather model forecasts for Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's highest temperature on April 17, with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 28–30°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting warm advection from the north. Differentiating factors include varying predictions on afternoon sea-breeze development, which could cap highs at 28°C via coastal cooling, versus urban heat island effects and partial sun pushing toward 30°C; light southerly winds around 10–15 km/h add minor uncertainty. Recent observations show today's high near 29°C amid partly cloudy skies, aligning with climatological mid-April norms of 26–27°C but elevated by the persistent ridge. Watch evening CMA updates and 00Z model runs for potential shifts before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$13,630
Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «29°C» с 33%, за ним следует «30°C» с 26%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 33¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 33%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $13.6K с момента запуска рынка Apr 15, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?» — «29°C» с 33%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 33%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30°C» с 26%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.