Trader consensus favors 33°C (41%) over 32°C (33.5%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast of fair morning conditions turning partly cloudy, with a projected peak of 32-33°C amid high solar insolation and weak winds. Historical March data shows average highs near 32°C, but recent days have exceeded 34°C during the lingering El Niño transition, boosting 34°C odds (15.5%). Differentiating factors include afternoon sea breeze strength and shower probability: sustained clear skies enable 33-34°C urban heat peaks, while early thundershowers could cap at 32°C, reflecting model divergences in convective activity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 41%
32°C 34%
34°C 15%
31°C 8%
$34,914 Объем
$34,914 Объем
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
34%
33°C
41%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 41%
32°C 34%
34°C 15%
31°C 8%
$34,914 Объем
$34,914 Объем
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
34%
33°C
41%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 33°C (41%) over 32°C (33.5%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast of fair morning conditions turning partly cloudy, with a projected peak of 32-33°C amid high solar insolation and weak winds. Historical March data shows average highs near 32°C, but recent days have exceeded 34°C during the lingering El Niño transition, boosting 34°C odds (15.5%). Differentiating factors include afternoon sea breeze strength and shower probability: sustained clear skies enable 33-34°C urban heat peaks, while early thundershowers could cap at 32°C, reflecting model divergences in convective activity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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