Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 79% implied probability for 21°C or below in Tel Aviv on March 29, aligns closely with the latest short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like those aggregated by AccuWeather, projecting a daytime high around 19–20°C amid variable cloudiness, possible morning showers, and southwest winds at 10–20 mph suppressing temperatures. This positioning stems from a recent synoptic shift over the past 48 hours, where a low-pressure system introduced cooler Mediterranean maritime air, capping highs below seasonal norms of ~20°C for late March. Forecast uncertainty remains low given the proximity to resolution via NOAA observations at Ben Gurion Airport, though minor model divergences could nudge outcomes toward 22°C if clearing occurs midday; hourly updates expected throughout the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
21°C or below 81%
22°C 14%
23°C 2.9%
24°C 2.1%
$14,230 Объем
$14,230 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
21°C or below
81%
22°C
14%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 81%
22°C 14%
23°C 2.9%
24°C 2.1%
$14,230 Объем
$14,230 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
21°C or below
$2,090 Объем
81%
22°C
$1,266 Объем
14%
23°C
$1,392 Объем
3%
24°C
$1,160 Объем
2%
25°C
$1,006 Объем
2%
26°C
$1,195 Объем
<1%
27°C
$1,940 Объем
<1%
28°C
$902 Объем
<1%
29°C
$1,116 Объем
<1%
30°C
$1,140 Объем
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,024 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 79% implied probability for 21°C or below in Tel Aviv on March 29, aligns closely with the latest short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like those aggregated by AccuWeather, projecting a daytime high around 19–20°C amid variable cloudiness, possible morning showers, and southwest winds at 10–20 mph suppressing temperatures. This positioning stems from a recent synoptic shift over the past 48 hours, where a low-pressure system introduced cooler Mediterranean maritime air, capping highs below seasonal norms of ~20°C for late March. Forecast uncertainty remains low given the proximity to resolution via NOAA observations at Ben Gurion Airport, though minor model divergences could nudge outcomes toward 22°C if clearing occurs midday; hourly updates expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$14,230Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 79% implied probability for 21°C or below in Tel Aviv on March 29, aligns closely with the latest short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like those aggregated by AccuWeather, projecting a daytime high around 19–20°C amid variable cloudiness, possible morning showers, and southwest winds at 10–20 mph suppressing temperatures. This positioning stems from a recent synoptic shift over the past 48 hours, where a low-pressure system introduced cooler Mediterranean maritime air, capping highs below seasonal norms of ~20°C for late March. Forecast uncertainty remains low given the proximity to resolution via NOAA observations at Ben Gurion Airport, though minor model divergences could nudge outcomes toward 22°C if clearing occurs midday; hourly updates expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$14,230Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 79% implied probability for 21°C or below in Tel Aviv on March 29, aligns closely with the latest short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like those aggregated by AccuWeather, projecting a daytime high around 19–20°C amid variable cloudiness, possible morning showers, and southwest winds at 10–20 mph suppressing temperatures. This positioning stems from a recent synoptic shift over the past 48 hours, where a low-pressure system introduced cooler Mediterranean maritime air, capping highs below seasonal norms of ~20°C for late March. Forecast uncertainty remains low given the proximity to resolution via NOAA observations at Ben Gurion Airport, though minor model divergences could nudge outcomes toward 22°C if clearing occurs midday; hourly updates expected throughout the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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