Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–18°C for Toronto's highest temperature on April 17, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecasts showing highs of 17–20°C amid a transition from April 16 showers to sunnier conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF agree on mild southerly flow advecting warmer air masses above seasonal norms (historical April average ~12°C at Pearson International Airport), but diverge on cloud persistence and timing—lingering low-level stratus could cap diurnal heating at 16–17°C, while clearer skies enable 18–19°C peaks via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from light winds (10–15 km/h) and minimal precip risk (<30%). Watch for Environment Canada’s 5 a.m. EDT update tomorrow, which could refine probabilities as observations firm up.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on April 17?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 17?
17°C 30%
16°C 24%
18°C 23%
19°C 14%
НОВОЕ
$12,351 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,351 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
15°C or below
9%
16°C
24%
17°C
30%
18°C
23%
19°C
14%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
17°C 30%
16°C 24%
18°C 23%
19°C 14%
НОВОЕ
$12,351 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,351 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
15°C or below
$2,516 Объем
9%
16°C
$900 Объем
24%
17°C
$774 Объем
30%
18°C
$550 Объем
23%
19°C
$659 Объем
14%
20°C
$1,807 Объем
2%
21°C
$959 Объем
1%
22°C
$1,007 Объем
1%
23°C
$820 Объем
1%
24°C
$1,319 Объем
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,066 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–18°C for Toronto's highest temperature on April 17, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecasts showing highs of 17–20°C amid a transition from April 16 showers to sunnier conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF agree on mild southerly flow advecting warmer air masses above seasonal norms (historical April average ~12°C at Pearson International Airport), but diverge on cloud persistence and timing—lingering low-level stratus could cap diurnal heating at 16–17°C, while clearer skies enable 18–19°C peaks via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from light winds (10–15 km/h) and minimal precip risk (<30%). Watch for Environment Canada’s 5 a.m. EDT update tomorrow, which could refine probabilities as observations firm up.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$12,351Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–18°C for Toronto's highest temperature on April 17, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecasts showing highs of 17–20°C amid a transition from April 16 showers to sunnier conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF agree on mild southerly flow advecting warmer air masses above seasonal norms (historical April average ~12°C at Pearson International Airport), but diverge on cloud persistence and timing—lingering low-level stratus could cap diurnal heating at 16–17°C, while clearer skies enable 18–19°C peaks via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from light winds (10–15 km/h) and minimal precip risk (<30%). Watch for Environment Canada’s 5 a.m. EDT update tomorrow, which could refine probabilities as observations firm up.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$12,351Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–18°C for Toronto's highest temperature on April 17, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecasts showing highs of 17–20°C amid a transition from April 16 showers to sunnier conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF agree on mild southerly flow advecting warmer air masses above seasonal norms (historical April average ~12°C at Pearson International Airport), but diverge on cloud persistence and timing—lingering low-level stratus could cap diurnal heating at 16–17°C, while clearer skies enable 18–19°C peaks via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from light winds (10–15 km/h) and minimal precip risk (<30%). Watch for Environment Canada’s 5 a.m. EDT update tomorrow, which could refine probabilities as observations firm up.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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