MetService's latest forecast, issued late April 16, pegs Wellington Central's highest temperature at 18°C on April 17 under mainly fine morning conditions with northwesterlies strengthening in the afternoon, closely tracking yesterday's 18.3°C peak at the Kelburn station—the market's likely resolution source. Trader sentiment splits evenly between 18°C and 19°C due to model uncertainty in peak insolation before possible afternoon showers cap warming, versus potential foehn-like enhancement from downslope northwesterlies boosting temps above forecast. This aligns with near-average April climatology (historical highs ~16–17°C) amid neutral ENSO patterns, with overnight updates and early observations poised to refine probabilities before midday peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 17 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 17 апреля?
19°C 37%
18°C 37%
17°C 20%
16°C 5.2%
$58,301 Объем
$58,301 Объем
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
20%
18°C
37%
19°C
37%
20°C
3%
21°C или выше
1%
19°C 37%
18°C 37%
17°C 20%
16°C 5.2%
$58,301 Объем
$58,301 Объем
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
20%
18°C
37%
19°C
37%
20°C
3%
21°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued late April 16, pegs Wellington Central's highest temperature at 18°C on April 17 under mainly fine morning conditions with northwesterlies strengthening in the afternoon, closely tracking yesterday's 18.3°C peak at the Kelburn station—the market's likely resolution source. Trader sentiment splits evenly between 18°C and 19°C due to model uncertainty in peak insolation before possible afternoon showers cap warming, versus potential foehn-like enhancement from downslope northwesterlies boosting temps above forecast. This aligns with near-average April climatology (historical highs ~16–17°C) amid neutral ENSO patterns, with overnight updates and early observations poised to refine probabilities before midday peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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