Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a strong position in New York's 18th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by his 2024 reelection margin and the area's modest Democratic tilt in presidential voting. Republican challengers, including Jackie Auringer, face limited recruitment interest due to the district's profile, contributing to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. With primaries scheduled for June 23, recent developments center on candidate filings and the absence of competitive Republican momentum, though outcomes remain subject to broader midterm dynamics and turnout patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-18
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-18
$33,316 Объем
$33,316 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
63%
Республиканская партия
14%
$33,316 Объем
$33,316 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$32,013 Объем
63%
Республиканская партия
$1,303 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a strong position in New York's 18th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by his 2024 reelection margin and the area's modest Democratic tilt in presidential voting. Republican challengers, including Jackie Auringer, face limited recruitment interest due to the district's profile, contributing to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. With primaries scheduled for June 23, recent developments center on candidate filings and the absence of competitive Republican momentum, though outcomes remain subject to broader midterm dynamics and turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Объем
$33,316Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a strong position in New York's 18th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by his 2024 reelection margin and the area's modest Democratic tilt in presidential voting. Republican challengers, including Jackie Auringer, face limited recruitment interest due to the district's profile, contributing to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. With primaries scheduled for June 23, recent developments center on candidate filings and the absence of competitive Republican momentum, though outcomes remain subject to broader midterm dynamics and turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$33,316Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a strong position in New York's 18th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by his 2024 reelection margin and the area's modest Democratic tilt in presidential voting. Republican challengers, including Jackie Auringer, face limited recruitment interest due to the district's profile, contributing to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. With primaries scheduled for June 23, recent developments center on candidate filings and the absence of competitive Republican momentum, though outcomes remain subject to broader midterm dynamics and turnout patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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