As of April 14, Seattle-Tacoma Airport (KSEA) has recorded 1.86 inches of precipitation, elevated by 1.06 inches from a single heavy rain event on April 14—well above the daily normal of 0.11 inches—following a mostly dry stretch after 0.69 inches on April 1. This positions the market-implied 43.5% probability for 3-3.5 inches total, aligning with the 1991-2020 April climatological normal of 3.18 inches, while NOAA's spring outlook favors drier-than-normal conditions across western Washington due to persistent high-pressure ridging. Remaining forecasts from the National Weather Service suggest limited additional rainfall over the next two weeks, though model uncertainty persists with potential for late-month systems; traders await daily CLI summaries for resolution based on official KSEA measurements through April 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОсадки в Сиэтле в апреле?
Осадки в Сиэтле в апреле?
3-3,5" 43%
2,5–3" 35%
<2,5" 19%
3,5–4" 16.4%
$44,348 Объем
$44,348 Объем
<2,5"
22%
2,5–3"
26%
3-3,5"
39%
3,5–4"
16%
4-4,5"
2%
4,5-5"
2%
>5"
3%
3-3,5" 43%
2,5–3" 35%
<2,5" 19%
3,5–4" 16.4%
$44,348 Объем
$44,348 Объем
<2,5"
22%
2,5–3"
26%
3-3,5"
39%
3,5–4"
16%
4-4,5"
2%
4,5-5"
2%
>5"
3%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of April 14, Seattle-Tacoma Airport (KSEA) has recorded 1.86 inches of precipitation, elevated by 1.06 inches from a single heavy rain event on April 14—well above the daily normal of 0.11 inches—following a mostly dry stretch after 0.69 inches on April 1. This positions the market-implied 43.5% probability for 3-3.5 inches total, aligning with the 1991-2020 April climatological normal of 3.18 inches, while NOAA's spring outlook favors drier-than-normal conditions across western Washington due to persistent high-pressure ridging. Remaining forecasts from the National Weather Service suggest limited additional rainfall over the next two weeks, though model uncertainty persists with potential for late-month systems; traders await daily CLI summaries for resolution based on official KSEA measurements through April 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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