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Осадки в Сиэтле в апреле?

Market icon

Осадки в Сиэтле в апреле?

апр. 30

апр. 30

3-3,5" 43%

3,5–4" 16.5%

<2,5" 16%

2,5–3" 12%

Polymarket

$44,176 Объем

3-3,5" 43%

3,5–4" 16.5%

<2,5" 16%

2,5–3" 12%

Polymarket

$44,176 Объем

<2,5"

$12,465 Объем

16%

2,5–3"

$8,438 Объем

12%

3-3,5"

$18,788 Объем

42%

3,5–4"

$1,171 Объем

16%

4-4,5"

$1,215 Объем

2%

4,5-5"

$1,129 Объем

2%

>5"

$970 Объем

3%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) at 39.5%, reflecting 1.86 inches accumulated through April 14—boosted by 1.06 inches from a heavy rain event amid unsettled stormy conditions on April 14, including a waterspout over Puget Sound the next day. This early dry spell through April 13 (just 0.80 inches) followed by recent downpours positions the total near the 3.18-inch climatological normal, with <2.5 inches at 23% capturing potential for subdued remaining rainfall per NOAA's spring outlook favoring 40-50% chances of below-normal precipitation under ENSO-neutral conditions. NWS extended forecasts and model ensembles for April 15-30 will clarify steering patterns and intensification risks, amid inherent uncertainty in Pacific Northwest spring weather variability.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$44,176
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) at 39.5%, reflecting 1.86 inches accumulated through April 14—boosted by 1.06 inches from a heavy rain event amid unsettled stormy conditions on April 14, including a waterspout over Puget Sound the next day. This early dry spell through April 13 (just 0.80 inches) followed by recent downpours positions the total near the 3.18-inch climatological normal, with <2.5 inches at 23% capturing potential for subdued remaining rainfall per NOAA's spring outlook favoring 40-50% chances of below-normal precipitation under ENSO-neutral conditions. NWS extended forecasts and model ensembles for April 15-30 will clarify steering patterns and intensification risks, amid inherent uncertainty in Pacific Northwest spring weather variability.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$44,176
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Осадки в Сиэтле в апреле?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «3-3,5"» с 42%, за ним следует «3,5–4"» с 17%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 42¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 42%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Осадки в Сиэтле в апреле?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $44.2K с момента запуска рынка Mar 24, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Осадки в Сиэтле в апреле?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Осадки в Сиэтле в апреле?» — «3-3,5"» с 42%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 42%. Следующий ближайший исход — «3,5–4"» с 17%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Осадки в Сиэтле в апреле?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.