Clayton Fuller secured the Republican nomination for Georgia's 14th congressional district after winning the April 2026 special election runoff by nearly 12 points against Democrat Shawn Harris in a seat rated R+19 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index. All major forecasters classify the district as solidly or safely Republican. Fuller then consolidated the GOP primary in May with more than 80 percent of the vote. These results, combined with the area's consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles, underpin traders' 92 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election. A major scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or a national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the incumbent's position make such shifts unlikely without extraordinary developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGA-14 House Election Winner
GA-14 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,466 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$1,689 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Clayton Fuller secured the Republican nomination for Georgia's 14th congressional district after winning the April 2026 special election runoff by nearly 12 points against Democrat Shawn Harris in a seat rated R+19 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index. All major forecasters classify the district as solidly or safely Republican. Fuller then consolidated the GOP primary in May with more than 80 percent of the vote. These results, combined with the area's consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles, underpin traders' 92 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election. A major scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or a national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the incumbent's position make such shifts unlikely without extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,156วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Clayton Fuller secured the Republican nomination for Georgia's 14th congressional district after winning the April 2026 special election runoff by nearly 12 points against Democrat Shawn Harris in a seat rated R+19 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index. All major forecasters classify the district as solidly or safely Republican. Fuller then consolidated the GOP primary in May with more than 80 percent of the vote. These results, combined with the area's consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles, underpin traders' 92 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election. A major scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or a national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the incumbent's position make such shifts unlikely without extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,156วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Clayton Fuller secured the Republican nomination for Georgia's 14th congressional district after winning the April 2026 special election runoff by nearly 12 points against Democrat Shawn Harris in a seat rated R+19 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index. All major forecasters classify the district as solidly or safely Republican. Fuller then consolidated the GOP primary in May with more than 80 percent of the vote. These results, combined with the area's consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles, underpin traders' 92 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election. A major scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or a national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the incumbent's position make such shifts unlikely without extraordinary developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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