SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, has solidified trader consensus around a June initial public offering, implying a 65% probability as markets price in an early June roadshow and listing at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Late March reports of the imminent filing sparked a rally in space stocks, accelerating sentiment toward mid-2026 debuts amid favorable regulatory pathways and retail allocation exceeding 20%. July trails at 19.1% as a slippage contingency during the standard 60-90 day review, while "No IPO before 2027" odds languish at 6.5% absent delay signals. Upcoming roadshow details and Starship milestones could further refine pricing expectations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHaziran 65%
Temmuz 18.9%
2027'den önce IPO yok 6.0%
Ağustos 4.2%
$230,256 Hac.
$230,256 Hac.
Nisan
1%
Mayıs
3%
Haziran
65%
Temmuz
19%
Ağustos
4%
Eylül
3%
Ekim
1%
Kasım
1%
Aralık
1%
2027'den önce IPO yok
6%
Haziran 65%
Temmuz 18.9%
2027'den önce IPO yok 6.0%
Ağustos 4.2%
$230,256 Hac.
$230,256 Hac.
Nisan
1%
Mayıs
3%
Haziran
65%
Temmuz
19%
Ağustos
4%
Eylül
3%
Ekim
1%
Kasım
1%
Aralık
1%
2027'den önce IPO yok
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, has solidified trader consensus around a June initial public offering, implying a 65% probability as markets price in an early June roadshow and listing at a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Late March reports of the imminent filing sparked a rally in space stocks, accelerating sentiment toward mid-2026 debuts amid favorable regulatory pathways and retail allocation exceeding 20%. July trails at 19.1% as a slippage contingency during the standard 60-90 day review, while "No IPO before 2027" odds languish at 6.5% absent delay signals. Upcoming roadshow details and Starship milestones could further refine pricing expectations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
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