Incumbent Rep. Neal Dunn's January retirement opened Florida's 2nd Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, amplified by Keith Gross's dominant GOP primary fundraising—$5.6 million raised and $5.1 million cash on hand as of March 31 FEC reports—far outpacing nine other Republicans and four Democrats, whose top haul was $325,000. No polls exist yet, but recent Q1 filings highlight GOP financial edge, sustaining high Republican win probability ahead of the August 18 closed primary and November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-02 House Election Winner
FL-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,946 Обс.
84%
Democratic Party
$2,537 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Neal Dunn's January retirement opened Florida's 2nd Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, amplified by Keith Gross's dominant GOP primary fundraising—$5.6 million raised and $5.1 million cash on hand as of March 31 FEC reports—far outpacing nine other Republicans and four Democrats, whose top haul was $325,000. No polls exist yet, but recent Q1 filings highlight GOP financial edge, sustaining high Republican win probability ahead of the August 18 closed primary and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,483Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Neal Dunn's January retirement opened Florida's 2nd Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, amplified by Keith Gross's dominant GOP primary fundraising—$5.6 million raised and $5.1 million cash on hand as of March 31 FEC reports—far outpacing nine other Republicans and four Democrats, whose top haul was $325,000. No polls exist yet, but recent Q1 filings highlight GOP financial edge, sustaining high Republican win probability ahead of the August 18 closed primary and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$5,483Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Neal Dunn's January retirement opened Florida's 2nd Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, amplified by Keith Gross's dominant GOP primary fundraising—$5.6 million raised and $5.1 million cash on hand as of March 31 FEC reports—far outpacing nine other Republicans and four Democrats, whose top haul was $325,000. No polls exist yet, but recent Q1 filings highlight GOP financial edge, sustaining high Republican win probability ahead of the August 18 closed primary and November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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