Incumbent Rep. Stephanie Bice (R) dominates trader consensus at 87% implied probability for victory in Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+9 partisan lean, thanks to her unopposed June 16 Republican primary path, $1.9 million cash on hand as of late March, and consistent 52-61% general election margins since flipping the seat in 2020. Recent filing deadline on April 3 confirmed a weak Democratic primary matchup between underfunded Trey Martin and Jena Nelson ($5,700 combined cash), alongside negligible independents Robert Henri and Austin Nieves, echoing Bice's 2024 unopposed advancement and remote upset risk despite the 2018 Democratic flip. The November 3 general election awaits primary outcomes, with ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscoring low competitive threat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOK-05 House Election Winner
OK-05 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,746 KL.
87%
Democratic Party
$2,725 KL.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Stephanie Bice (R) dominates trader consensus at 87% implied probability for victory in Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+9 partisan lean, thanks to her unopposed June 16 Republican primary path, $1.9 million cash on hand as of late March, and consistent 52-61% general election margins since flipping the seat in 2020. Recent filing deadline on April 3 confirmed a weak Democratic primary matchup between underfunded Trey Martin and Jena Nelson ($5,700 combined cash), alongside negligible independents Robert Henri and Austin Nieves, echoing Bice's 2024 unopposed advancement and remote upset risk despite the 2018 Democratic flip. The November 3 general election awaits primary outcomes, with ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscoring low competitive threat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,471Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Stephanie Bice (R) dominates trader consensus at 87% implied probability for victory in Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+9 partisan lean, thanks to her unopposed June 16 Republican primary path, $1.9 million cash on hand as of late March, and consistent 52-61% general election margins since flipping the seat in 2020. Recent filing deadline on April 3 confirmed a weak Democratic primary matchup between underfunded Trey Martin and Jena Nelson ($5,700 combined cash), alongside negligible independents Robert Henri and Austin Nieves, echoing Bice's 2024 unopposed advancement and remote upset risk despite the 2018 Democratic flip. The November 3 general election awaits primary outcomes, with ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscoring low competitive threat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$6,471Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Stephanie Bice (R) dominates trader consensus at 87% implied probability for victory in Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+9 partisan lean, thanks to her unopposed June 16 Republican primary path, $1.9 million cash on hand as of late March, and consistent 52-61% general election margins since flipping the seat in 2020. Recent filing deadline on April 3 confirmed a weak Democratic primary matchup between underfunded Trey Martin and Jena Nelson ($5,700 combined cash), alongside negligible independents Robert Henri and Austin Nieves, echoing Bice's 2024 unopposed advancement and remote upset risk despite the 2018 Democratic flip. The November 3 general election awaits primary outcomes, with ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscoring low competitive threat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp