Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's national-leading approval ratings and history of landslide victories in Democratic-leaning Vermont drive trader consensus toward a 77% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election. Recent circulation of primary petitions by Scott's campaign as of early April signals his likely bid for a sixth term ahead of the May 28 filing deadline and August 11 primary, reinforcing GOP strength despite no formal announcement. Democratic challengers Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards announced in March and April, respectively, but face an uphill battle against Scott's dominance, as reflected in Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report. No early matchup polls exist, leaving room for shifts if Scott bows out.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVermont Governor Election Winner
Vermont Governor Election Winner
$18,377 KL.
$18,377 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
77%
Democrat
20%
$18,377 KL.
$18,377 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$10,959 KL.
77%
Democrat
$7,418 KL.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's national-leading approval ratings and history of landslide victories in Democratic-leaning Vermont drive trader consensus toward a 77% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election. Recent circulation of primary petitions by Scott's campaign as of early April signals his likely bid for a sixth term ahead of the May 28 filing deadline and August 11 primary, reinforcing GOP strength despite no formal announcement. Democratic challengers Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards announced in March and April, respectively, but face an uphill battle against Scott's dominance, as reflected in Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report. No early matchup polls exist, leaving room for shifts if Scott bows out.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$18,377Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's national-leading approval ratings and history of landslide victories in Democratic-leaning Vermont drive trader consensus toward a 77% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election. Recent circulation of primary petitions by Scott's campaign as of early April signals his likely bid for a sixth term ahead of the May 28 filing deadline and August 11 primary, reinforcing GOP strength despite no formal announcement. Democratic challengers Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards announced in March and April, respectively, but face an uphill battle against Scott's dominance, as reflected in Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report. No early matchup polls exist, leaving room for shifts if Scott bows out.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$18,377Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's national-leading approval ratings and history of landslide victories in Democratic-leaning Vermont drive trader consensus toward a 77% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election. Recent circulation of primary petitions by Scott's campaign as of early April signals his likely bid for a sixth term ahead of the May 28 filing deadline and August 11 primary, reinforcing GOP strength despite no formal announcement. Democratic challengers Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards announced in March and April, respectively, but face an uphill battle against Scott's dominance, as reflected in Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report. No early matchup polls exist, leaving room for shifts if Scott bows out.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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