Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport weather station in Ankara, managed by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), recorded a maximum temperature of 14°C on April 18, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and quality-controlled data, reflects a sharp cooling event forecasted by ECMWF and GFS models days prior, amid cooler-than-average April conditions influenced by northerly airflow and cloud cover suppressing highs below the monthly norm of 16–17°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a post hoc data revision from overlooked peak readings or instrument calibration issues—are highly improbable given rigorous monitoring protocols, with resolution imminent upon final MGM confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 18?
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$204,812 交易量
$204,812 交易量
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$204,812 交易量
$204,812 交易量
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Esenboğa International Airport weather station in Ankara, managed by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), recorded a maximum temperature of 14°C on April 18, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and quality-controlled data, reflects a sharp cooling event forecasted by ECMWF and GFS models days prior, amid cooler-than-average April conditions influenced by northerly airflow and cloud cover suppressing highs below the monthly norm of 16–17°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a post hoc data revision from overlooked peak readings or instrument calibration issues—are highly improbable given rigorous monitoring protocols, with resolution imminent upon final MGM confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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