Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a high of 16°C in Ankara on April 18, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens outcomes with 15°C leading at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (21%) and 14°C (19%). This reflects a sharp cooling trend after recent highs near 22°C on April 16-17, as a frontal system ushers cooler air masses and increased cloud cover, per latest model guidance. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs show 1-2°C divergence due to uncertainties in diurnal heating, boundary layer mixing, and exact timing of precipitation chances around 20-30%. Historical mid-April variability in Ankara's continental climate supports the tight clustering around 14-17°C, with overnight model updates expected to sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 18?
15°C 25%
16°C 20%
17°C 18%
14°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
12°C or below
2%
13°C
14%
14°C
17%
15°C
25%
16°C
20%
17°C
18%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
15°C 25%
16°C 20%
17°C 18%
14°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
12°C or below
$499 交易量
2%
13°C
$541 交易量
14%
14°C
$180 交易量
17%
15°C
$168 交易量
25%
16°C
$641 交易量
20%
17°C
$376 交易量
18%
18°C
$486 交易量
6%
19°C
$224 交易量
2%
20°C
$187 交易量
2%
21°C
$138 交易量
1%
22°C or higher
$246 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a high of 16°C in Ankara on April 18, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens outcomes with 15°C leading at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (21%) and 14°C (19%). This reflects a sharp cooling trend after recent highs near 22°C on April 16-17, as a frontal system ushers cooler air masses and increased cloud cover, per latest model guidance. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs show 1-2°C divergence due to uncertainties in diurnal heating, boundary layer mixing, and exact timing of precipitation chances around 20-30%. Historical mid-April variability in Ankara's continental climate supports the tight clustering around 14-17°C, with overnight model updates expected to sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,685結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a high of 16°C in Ankara on April 18, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens outcomes with 15°C leading at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (21%) and 14°C (19%). This reflects a sharp cooling trend after recent highs near 22°C on April 16-17, as a frontal system ushers cooler air masses and increased cloud cover, per latest model guidance. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs show 1-2°C divergence due to uncertainties in diurnal heating, boundary layer mixing, and exact timing of precipitation chances around 20-30%. Historical mid-April variability in Ankara's continental climate supports the tight clustering around 14-17°C, with overnight model updates expected to sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,685結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTurkish State Meteorological Service forecasts a high of 16°C in Ankara on April 18, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens outcomes with 15°C leading at 27% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (21%) and 14°C (19%). This reflects a sharp cooling trend after recent highs near 22°C on April 16-17, as a frontal system ushers cooler air masses and increased cloud cover, per latest model guidance. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs show 1-2°C divergence due to uncertainties in diurnal heating, boundary layer mixing, and exact timing of precipitation chances around 20-30%. Historical mid-April variability in Ankara's continental climate supports the tight clustering around 14-17°C, with overnight model updates expected to sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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