Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a maximum of 11–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 24 under a stable high-pressure ridge, with light northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no significant warming aloft. This aligns with the market’s leading 13°C outcome (47.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25.5%), reflecting trader consensus on typical late-winter conditions near the seasonal average. Limited diurnal heating from seasonal solar angles and persistent marine influence keep upside risks low, while minor model spreads on cloud cover support the tight clustering around these values. Resolution will depend on official station readings tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
13°C 46%
14°C 24%
12°C 23%
15°C 7%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
23%
13°C
46%
14°C
24%
15°C
7%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 46%
14°C 24%
12°C 23%
15°C 7%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
23%
13°C
46%
14°C
24%
15°C
7%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a maximum of 11–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 24 under a stable high-pressure ridge, with light northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no significant warming aloft. This aligns with the market’s leading 13°C outcome (47.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25.5%), reflecting trader consensus on typical late-winter conditions near the seasonal average. Limited diurnal heating from seasonal solar angles and persistent marine influence keep upside risks low, while minor model spreads on cloud cover support the tight clustering around these values. Resolution will depend on official station readings tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions