Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate daytime highs in Busan near 26–28°C for July 8 amid the East Asian summer monsoon, yet trader consensus clusters around 29–30°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and strengthening influence from the North Pacific subtropical high. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of July can suppress peak readings, while clearer intervals under ridge influence allow brief warming toward 31°C; historical July maxima average 28–29°C with notable interannual variability. Key resolution hinges on official observations at Gimhae or central Busan stations, with next model updates likely shifting implied probabilities as the 48-hour window narrows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月8日釜山的最高溫度?
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$56,485 交易量
$56,485 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$56,485 交易量
$56,485 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate daytime highs in Busan near 26–28°C for July 8 amid the East Asian summer monsoon, yet trader consensus clusters around 29–30°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and strengthening influence from the North Pacific subtropical high. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity typical of July can suppress peak readings, while clearer intervals under ridge influence allow brief warming toward 31°C; historical July maxima average 28–29°C with notable interannual variability. Key resolution hinges on official observations at Gimhae or central Busan stations, with next model updates likely shifting implied probabilities as the 48-hour window narrows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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