Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,401 交易量
$54,401 交易量
2026-05-02
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,401 交易量
$54,401 交易量
2026-05-02
15°C or below
$4,081 交易量
No
16°C
$5,773 交易量
No
17°C
$8,358 交易量
No
18°C
$5,231 交易量
Yes
19°C
$3,433 交易量
No
20°C
$4,839 交易量
No
21°C
$5,457 交易量
No
22°C
$4,935 交易量
No
23°C
$4,608 交易量
No
24°C
$3,796 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$3,890 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$54,401結束日期
2026-05-02市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$54,401結束日期
2026-05-02市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions