Latest forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF indicate a marked temperature drop for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 6, following today's expected high near 27-28°C, due to an advancing frontal system ushering in cloudy conditions and 80-90% precipitation probabilities. This suppresses daytime heating, positioning trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for 19°C or below amid potential heavy rain and overcast skies, with 21°C (22.5%) and 20°C (18.5%) close behind as partial clearing could allow slight warming. Early April climatology supports highs around 20-23°C on average, but spring variability and model uncertainty—new runs expected April 5—keep outcomes competitive below 22°C. Airport observations will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 6?
19°C or below 41%
21°C 24%
20°C 18%
22°C 10%
19°C or below
41%
20°C
18%
21°C
24%
22°C
10%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
19°C or below 41%
21°C 24%
20°C 18%
22°C 10%
19°C or below
41%
20°C
18%
21°C
24%
22°C
10%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF indicate a marked temperature drop for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 6, following today's expected high near 27-28°C, due to an advancing frontal system ushering in cloudy conditions and 80-90% precipitation probabilities. This suppresses daytime heating, positioning trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for 19°C or below amid potential heavy rain and overcast skies, with 21°C (22.5%) and 20°C (18.5%) close behind as partial clearing could allow slight warming. Early April climatology supports highs around 20-23°C on average, but spring variability and model uncertainty—new runs expected April 5—keep outcomes competitive below 22°C. Airport observations will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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