Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 68-75°F for Denver's highest temperature at Buckley Space Force Base on April 19, driven by National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs like GFS and ECMWF showing a warming trend after chilly conditions on April 17 (forecast high near 61°F under a freeze warning). Spring-like uncertainty persists due to variable jet stream positioning over the Rockies, potential for partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, and light northerly winds capping peaks, with historical April 19 normals around 62°F but above-normal Climate Prediction Center outlooks favoring mild warmth. New 12z model runs on April 18 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on April 19?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 19?
72-73°F 26%
74-75°F 24%
68-69°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
24%
76°F or higher
10%
72-73°F 26%
74-75°F 24%
68-69°F 22%
70-71°F 19%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
24%
76°F or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 68-75°F for Denver's highest temperature at Buckley Space Force Base on April 19, driven by National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs like GFS and ECMWF showing a warming trend after chilly conditions on April 17 (forecast high near 61°F under a freeze warning). Spring-like uncertainty persists due to variable jet stream positioning over the Rockies, potential for partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation, and light northerly winds capping peaks, with historical April 19 normals around 62°F but above-normal Climate Prediction Center outlooks favoring mild warmth. New 12z model runs on April 18 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions