Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting Los Angeles International Airport highs between 72-77°F on April 5, with 76-77°F slightly leading at 22% implied probability amid minor spread from 68-76°F. National Weather Service discussions highlight current cooler-than-normal conditions under a weakening offshore flow into Sunday, potentially allowing persistent marine layer clouds and onshore breezes to cap peaks near 72-73°F, while ridge amplification could push toward 76-77°F with clearer skies. Key differentiators include temperature inversion strength and coastal stratus burn-off timing; historical April LAX averages hover at 69°F, but above-normal seasonal outlooks from NOAA CPC favor warmth. New 12z model runs and NWS updates expected this afternoon will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於洛杉磯4月5日的最高溫度?
洛杉磯4月5日的最高溫度?
76-77°F 22%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 18%
78-79°F 14%
67°F或以下
2%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F或更高
3%
76-77°F 22%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 18%
78-79°F 14%
67°F或以下
2%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting Los Angeles International Airport highs between 72-77°F on April 5, with 76-77°F slightly leading at 22% implied probability amid minor spread from 68-76°F. National Weather Service discussions highlight current cooler-than-normal conditions under a weakening offshore flow into Sunday, potentially allowing persistent marine layer clouds and onshore breezes to cap peaks near 72-73°F, while ridge amplification could push toward 76-77°F with clearer skies. Key differentiators include temperature inversion strength and coastal stratus burn-off timing; historical April LAX averages hover at 69°F, but above-normal seasonal outlooks from NOAA CPC favor warmth. New 12z model runs and NWS updates expected this afternoon will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions