Trader sentiment centers on short-term monsoon dynamics, with closely matched odds for 32–34°C reflecting forecast uncertainty for Lucknow’s August 24 maximum. Active southwest monsoon flow, enhanced cloud cover, and scattered rainfall moderate daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and boosting evaporative cooling, keeping highs near seasonal norms of 31–34°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity over Uttar Pradesh, which can shift the peak temperature by 1–2°C depending on whether heavier showers arrive before or after peak heating. Historical August variability, including occasional breaks in the monsoon, supports the observed spread in market-implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycles will likely refine resolution before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
8月24日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
32°C 33%
33°C 32%
34°C 25%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
33%
33°C
32%
34°C
25%
35°C
9%
36°C or higher
3%
32°C 33%
33°C 32%
34°C 25%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
26°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$5 交易量
1%
29°C
$5 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
4%
31°C
$4 交易量
12%
32°C
$5 交易量
33%
33°C
$19 交易量
32%
34°C
$0 交易量
25%
35°C
$0 交易量
9%
36°C or higher
$3 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on short-term monsoon dynamics, with closely matched odds for 32–34°C reflecting forecast uncertainty for Lucknow’s August 24 maximum. Active southwest monsoon flow, enhanced cloud cover, and scattered rainfall moderate daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and boosting evaporative cooling, keeping highs near seasonal norms of 31–34°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity over Uttar Pradesh, which can shift the peak temperature by 1–2°C depending on whether heavier showers arrive before or after peak heating. Historical August variability, including occasional breaks in the monsoon, supports the observed spread in market-implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycles will likely refine resolution before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
交易量
$41結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on short-term monsoon dynamics, with closely matched odds for 32–34°C reflecting forecast uncertainty for Lucknow’s August 24 maximum. Active southwest monsoon flow, enhanced cloud cover, and scattered rainfall moderate daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and boosting evaporative cooling, keeping highs near seasonal norms of 31–34°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity over Uttar Pradesh, which can shift the peak temperature by 1–2°C depending on whether heavier showers arrive before or after peak heating. Historical August variability, including occasional breaks in the monsoon, supports the observed spread in market-implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycles will likely refine resolution before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETTrader sentiment centers on short-term monsoon dynamics, with closely matched odds for 32–34°C reflecting forecast uncertainty for Lucknow’s August 24 maximum. Active southwest monsoon flow, enhanced cloud cover, and scattered rainfall moderate daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and boosting evaporative cooling, keeping highs near seasonal norms of 31–34°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity over Uttar Pradesh, which can shift the peak temperature by 1–2°C depending on whether heavier showers arrive before or after peak heating. Historical August variability, including occasional breaks in the monsoon, supports the observed spread in market-implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycles will likely refine resolution before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions