Recent monsoon activity and associated rainfall patterns are the dominant drivers of trader sentiment for Lucknow's July 17 maximum temperature, with forecasts indicating 34–36°C amid variable cloud cover and showers that could suppress peaks below recent 40°C+ readings. Short-range models show divergence on exact rainfall timing and intensity over Uttar Pradesh, creating the broad probability spread across 32–35°C outcomes. Key variables include daytime cloud fraction and convective precipitation reducing insolation, surface humidity and soil moisture from ongoing southwest monsoon flow, and any shifts in low-level winds that modulate heat advection. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department highlights hot and humid conditions with isolated thundershowers, keeping 33°C as the narrow plurality while underscoring forecast uncertainty two days out.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月17日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
7月17日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
35°C或更高 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$39,215 交易量
$39,215 交易量
2026-07-17
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
是
35°C或更高 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$39,215 交易量
$39,215 交易量
2026-07-17
25°C或以下
$250 交易量
否
26°C
$361 交易量
否
27°C
$513 交易量
否
28°C
$1,149 交易量
否
29°C
$1,480 交易量
否
30°C
$1,786 交易量
否
31°C
$4,807 交易量
否
32°C
$3,711 交易量
否
33°C
$4,205 交易量
否
34°C
$10,670 交易量
否
35°C或更高
$10,283 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated rainfall patterns are the dominant drivers of trader sentiment for Lucknow's July 17 maximum temperature, with forecasts indicating 34–36°C amid variable cloud cover and showers that could suppress peaks below recent 40°C+ readings. Short-range models show divergence on exact rainfall timing and intensity over Uttar Pradesh, creating the broad probability spread across 32–35°C outcomes. Key variables include daytime cloud fraction and convective precipitation reducing insolation, surface humidity and soil moisture from ongoing southwest monsoon flow, and any shifts in low-level winds that modulate heat advection. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department highlights hot and humid conditions with isolated thundershowers, keeping 33°C as the narrow plurality while underscoring forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 15, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$39,215結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated rainfall patterns are the dominant drivers of trader sentiment for Lucknow's July 17 maximum temperature, with forecasts indicating 34–36°C amid variable cloud cover and showers that could suppress peaks below recent 40°C+ readings. Short-range models show divergence on exact rainfall timing and intensity over Uttar Pradesh, creating the broad probability spread across 32–35°C outcomes. Key variables include daytime cloud fraction and convective precipitation reducing insolation, surface humidity and soil moisture from ongoing southwest monsoon flow, and any shifts in low-level winds that modulate heat advection. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department highlights hot and humid conditions with isolated thundershowers, keeping 33°C as the narrow plurality while underscoring forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,215結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent monsoon activity and associated rainfall patterns are the dominant drivers of trader sentiment for Lucknow's July 17 maximum temperature, with forecasts indicating 34–36°C amid variable cloud cover and showers that could suppress peaks below recent 40°C+ readings. Short-range models show divergence on exact rainfall timing and intensity over Uttar Pradesh, creating the broad probability spread across 32–35°C outcomes. Key variables include daytime cloud fraction and convective precipitation reducing insolation, surface humidity and soil moisture from ongoing southwest monsoon flow, and any shifts in low-level winds that modulate heat advection. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department highlights hot and humid conditions with isolated thundershowers, keeping 33°C as the narrow plurality while underscoring forecast uncertainty two days out.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions