Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, peaked at 26.6°C around 3 p.m. local time, aligning precisely with the 26°C outcome bin and yielding 100% trader consensus backed by real capital. This result undercut pre-event forecasts of 27–29°C from numerical weather prediction models, likely due to increased high cloud cover and subdued southerly winds that capped daytime heating despite a broader warm spell in central Spain. With data now finalized in AEMET's automated station records, revision risks are negligible barring rare quality-control anomalies or sensor recalibrations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on April 21?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 21?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$113,163 交易量
$113,163 交易量
2026-04-21
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$113,163 交易量
$113,163 交易量
2026-04-21
22°C or below
$1,030 交易量
No
23°C
$4,792 交易量
No
24°C
$7,126 交易量
No
25°C
$8,624 交易量
No
26°C
$30,894 交易量
Yes
27°C
$16,507 交易量
No
28°C
$17,080 交易量
No
29°C
$10,946 交易量
No
30°C
$9,502 交易量
No
31°C
$3,817 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$2,846 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, peaked at 26.6°C around 3 p.m. local time, aligning precisely with the 26°C outcome bin and yielding 100% trader consensus backed by real capital. This result undercut pre-event forecasts of 27–29°C from numerical weather prediction models, likely due to increased high cloud cover and subdued southerly winds that capped daytime heating despite a broader warm spell in central Spain. With data now finalized in AEMET's automated station records, revision risks are negligible barring rare quality-control anomalies or sensor recalibrations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 19, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
交易量
$113,163結束日期
2026-04-21市場開放時間
Apr 19, 2026, 12:51 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, peaked at 26.6°C around 3 p.m. local time, aligning precisely with the 26°C outcome bin and yielding 100% trader consensus backed by real capital. This result undercut pre-event forecasts of 27–29°C from numerical weather prediction models, likely due to increased high cloud cover and subdued southerly winds that capped daytime heating despite a broader warm spell in central Spain. With data now finalized in AEMET's automated station records, revision risks are negligible barring rare quality-control anomalies or sensor recalibrations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$113,163結束日期
2026-04-21市場開放時間
Apr 19, 2026, 12:51 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, peaked at 26.6°C around 3 p.m. local time, aligning precisely with the 26°C outcome bin and yielding 100% trader consensus backed by real capital. This result undercut pre-event forecasts of 27–29°C from numerical weather prediction models, likely due to increased high cloud cover and subdued southerly winds that capped daytime heating despite a broader warm spell in central Spain. With data now finalized in AEMET's automated station records, revision risks are negligible barring rare quality-control anomalies or sensor recalibrations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions