PAGASA’s latest forecast under the southwest monsoon shows Metro Manila with partly cloudy to cloudy skies, scattered rains, and a daytime high near 33°C on June 7, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects the agency’s official temperature guidance for the period, consistent with June climatology of 30–34°C highs amid humid conditions and light to moderate southwesterly winds. Traders appear to view the forecast range and monsoon steering as sufficiently stable to lock in 33°C as the expected maximum recorded at official stations. Deviations could occur if convective activity peaks later than modeled or if localized urban heat effects push observations higher, though current model consensus and historical analogs support limited upside risk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Manila on June 7?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 7?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,761 交易量
$34,761 交易量
2026-06-07
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,761 交易量
$34,761 交易量
2026-06-07
28°C or below
$503 交易量
No
29°C
$1,024 交易量
No
30°C
$4,199 交易量
No
31°C
$2,261 交易量
No
32°C
$2,668 交易量
No
33°C
$6,064 交易量
Yes
34°C
$3,512 交易量
No
35°C
$6,695 交易量
No
36°C
$6,924 交易量
No
37°C
$678 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$233 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA’s latest forecast under the southwest monsoon shows Metro Manila with partly cloudy to cloudy skies, scattered rains, and a daytime high near 33°C on June 7, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects the agency’s official temperature guidance for the period, consistent with June climatology of 30–34°C highs amid humid conditions and light to moderate southwesterly winds. Traders appear to view the forecast range and monsoon steering as sufficiently stable to lock in 33°C as the expected maximum recorded at official stations. Deviations could occur if convective activity peaks later than modeled or if localized urban heat effects push observations higher, though current model consensus and historical analogs support limited upside risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 6, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$34,761結束日期
2026-06-07市場開放時間
Jun 6, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA’s latest forecast under the southwest monsoon shows Metro Manila with partly cloudy to cloudy skies, scattered rains, and a daytime high near 33°C on June 7, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects the agency’s official temperature guidance for the period, consistent with June climatology of 30–34°C highs amid humid conditions and light to moderate southwesterly winds. Traders appear to view the forecast range and monsoon steering as sufficiently stable to lock in 33°C as the expected maximum recorded at official stations. Deviations could occur if convective activity peaks later than modeled or if localized urban heat effects push observations higher, though current model consensus and historical analogs support limited upside risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,761結束日期
2026-06-07市場開放時間
Jun 6, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
PAGASA’s latest forecast under the southwest monsoon shows Metro Manila with partly cloudy to cloudy skies, scattered rains, and a daytime high near 33°C on June 7, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects the agency’s official temperature guidance for the period, consistent with June climatology of 30–34°C highs amid humid conditions and light to moderate southwesterly winds. Traders appear to view the forecast range and monsoon steering as sufficiently stable to lock in 33°C as the expected maximum recorded at official stations. Deviations could occur if convective activity peaks later than modeled or if localized urban heat effects push observations higher, though current model consensus and historical analogs support limited upside risk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions