Official observational data from Milan Malpensa International Airport's weather station—the market's authoritative source—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on April 25, driving the 100% implied probability for this outcome among traders risking real capital. This peak, recorded amid clear skies under a stable North African high-pressure ridge ("Cammello"), aligned with forecast model consensus from ARPA Lombardia and national agencies predicting 24-26°C amid low wind and ample sunshine, exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibrations or data revisions from aviation synoptic reports, but standardized METAR protocols and preliminary validations render such shifts negligible. Market resolution awaits final hourly data release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 25?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 25?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,877 交易量
$64,877 交易量
2026-04-25
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,877 交易量
$64,877 交易量
2026-04-25
18°C or below
$738 交易量
No
19°C
$2,315 交易量
No
20°C
$1,396 交易量
No
21°C
$5,067 交易量
No
22°C
$5,852 交易量
No
23°C
$10,884 交易量
No
24°C
$9,610 交易量
No
25°C
$10,552 交易量
Yes
26°C
$7,604 交易量
No
27°C
$5,789 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$5,069 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Milan Malpensa International Airport's weather station—the market's authoritative source—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on April 25, driving the 100% implied probability for this outcome among traders risking real capital. This peak, recorded amid clear skies under a stable North African high-pressure ridge ("Cammello"), aligned with forecast model consensus from ARPA Lombardia and national agencies predicting 24-26°C amid low wind and ample sunshine, exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibrations or data revisions from aviation synoptic reports, but standardized METAR protocols and preliminary validations render such shifts negligible. Market resolution awaits final hourly data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 23, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
交易量
$64,877結束日期
2026-04-25市場開放時間
Apr 23, 2026, 1:00 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Milan Malpensa International Airport's weather station—the market's authoritative source—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on April 25, driving the 100% implied probability for this outcome among traders risking real capital. This peak, recorded amid clear skies under a stable North African high-pressure ridge ("Cammello"), aligned with forecast model consensus from ARPA Lombardia and national agencies predicting 24-26°C amid low wind and ample sunshine, exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibrations or data revisions from aviation synoptic reports, but standardized METAR protocols and preliminary validations render such shifts negligible. Market resolution awaits final hourly data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$64,877結束日期
2026-04-25市場開放時間
Apr 23, 2026, 1:00 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observational data from Milan Malpensa International Airport's weather station—the market's authoritative source—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on April 25, driving the 100% implied probability for this outcome among traders risking real capital. This peak, recorded amid clear skies under a stable North African high-pressure ridge ("Cammello"), aligned with forecast model consensus from ARPA Lombardia and national agencies predicting 24-26°C amid low wind and ample sunshine, exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibrations or data revisions from aviation synoptic reports, but standardized METAR protocols and preliminary validations render such shifts negligible. Market resolution awaits final hourly data release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions