National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for July 17 points to mostly sunny conditions with highs in the mid-to-upper 80s amid lingering smoke and haze from regional wildfires, which can slightly suppress maximum temperatures through reduced insolation. Recent model runs show a transition from the early-July heat wave—when Central Park hit 100°F—to a more moderate pattern driven by northerly flow and lower dew points, keeping heat indices from spiking. This consensus supports trader emphasis on the 88-89°F and 86-87°F bins as the most probable outcomes, while uncertainty in exact smoke coverage and afternoon mixing leaves room for minor upside or downside revisions in the final NWS forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月17日紐約市的最高溫度？
7月17日紐約市的最高溫度？
86-87°F 100.0%
華氏81度或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$169,212 交易量
$169,212 交易量
2026-07-17
華氏81度或以下
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
是
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
華氏92-93度
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
華氏100度或以上
否
86-87°F 100.0%
華氏81度或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$169,212 交易量
$169,212 交易量
2026-07-17
華氏81度或以下
$43,125 交易量
否
82-83°F
$29,895 交易量
否
84-85°F
$20,744 交易量
否
86-87°F
$17,571 交易量
是
88-89°F
$12,888 交易量
否
90-91°F
$13,033 交易量
否
華氏92-93度
$16,617 交易量
否
94-95°F
$9,254 交易量
否
96-97°F
$3,470 交易量
否
98-99°F
$945 交易量
否
華氏100度或以上
$1,670 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for July 17 points to mostly sunny conditions with highs in the mid-to-upper 80s amid lingering smoke and haze from regional wildfires, which can slightly suppress maximum temperatures through reduced insolation. Recent model runs show a transition from the early-July heat wave—when Central Park hit 100°F—to a more moderate pattern driven by northerly flow and lower dew points, keeping heat indices from spiking. This consensus supports trader emphasis on the 88-89°F and 86-87°F bins as the most probable outcomes, while uncertainty in exact smoke coverage and afternoon mixing leaves room for minor upside or downside revisions in the final NWS forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$169,212結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for July 17 points to mostly sunny conditions with highs in the mid-to-upper 80s amid lingering smoke and haze from regional wildfires, which can slightly suppress maximum temperatures through reduced insolation. Recent model runs show a transition from the early-July heat wave—when Central Park hit 100°F—to a more moderate pattern driven by northerly flow and lower dew points, keeping heat indices from spiking. This consensus supports trader emphasis on the 88-89°F and 86-87°F bins as the most probable outcomes, while uncertainty in exact smoke coverage and afternoon mixing leaves room for minor upside or downside revisions in the final NWS forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$169,212結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for July 17 points to mostly sunny conditions with highs in the mid-to-upper 80s amid lingering smoke and haze from regional wildfires, which can slightly suppress maximum temperatures through reduced insolation. Recent model runs show a transition from the early-July heat wave—when Central Park hit 100°F—to a more moderate pattern driven by northerly flow and lower dew points, keeping heat indices from spiking. This consensus supports trader emphasis on the 88-89°F and 86-87°F bins as the most probable outcomes, while uncertainty in exact smoke coverage and afternoon mixing leaves room for minor upside or downside revisions in the final NWS forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions