Traders price the NYC highest temperature for July 20 in a narrow band around 80–83°F because the latest NOAA and AccuWeather ensemble guidance shows a moderating air mass arriving after early-July heat, with model runs clustering on a peak near 80–82°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any onshore sea breeze, which can shave 2–4°F off Central Park readings, afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing among high-resolution models. Historical climatology for mid-July supports an 81–83°F normal range, but recent drier and slightly cooler conditions have kept probabilities balanced between the two leading bins while leaving little room for outliers above 85°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日紐約市的最高溫度？
7月20日紐約市的最高溫度？
82-83°F 100.0%
華氏69度或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$151,099 交易量
$151,099 交易量
2026-07-20
華氏69度或以下
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
是
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88°F或更高
否
82-83°F 100.0%
華氏69度或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$151,099 交易量
$151,099 交易量
2026-07-20
華氏69度或以下
$320 交易量
否
70-71°F
$240 交易量
否
72-73°F
$468 交易量
否
74-75°F
$6,064 交易量
否
76-77°F
$31,337 交易量
否
78-79°F
$34,141 交易量
否
80-81°F
$28,364 交易量
否
82-83°F
$19,896 交易量
是
84-85°F
$15,147 交易量
否
86-87°F
$9,524 交易量
否
88°F或更高
$5,598 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price the NYC highest temperature for July 20 in a narrow band around 80–83°F because the latest NOAA and AccuWeather ensemble guidance shows a moderating air mass arriving after early-July heat, with model runs clustering on a peak near 80–82°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any onshore sea breeze, which can shave 2–4°F off Central Park readings, afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing among high-resolution models. Historical climatology for mid-July supports an 81–83°F normal range, but recent drier and slightly cooler conditions have kept probabilities balanced between the two leading bins while leaving little room for outliers above 85°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$151,099結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price the NYC highest temperature for July 20 in a narrow band around 80–83°F because the latest NOAA and AccuWeather ensemble guidance shows a moderating air mass arriving after early-July heat, with model runs clustering on a peak near 80–82°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any onshore sea breeze, which can shave 2–4°F off Central Park readings, afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing among high-resolution models. Historical climatology for mid-July supports an 81–83°F normal range, but recent drier and slightly cooler conditions have kept probabilities balanced between the two leading bins while leaving little room for outliers above 85°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$151,099結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders price the NYC highest temperature for July 20 in a narrow band around 80–83°F because the latest NOAA and AccuWeather ensemble guidance shows a moderating air mass arriving after early-July heat, with model runs clustering on a peak near 80–82°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any onshore sea breeze, which can shave 2–4°F off Central Park readings, afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating, and minor differences in boundary-layer mixing among high-resolution models. Historical climatology for mid-July supports an 81–83°F normal range, but recent drier and slightly cooler conditions have kept probabilities balanced between the two leading bins while leaving little room for outliers above 85°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions