Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station, a primary reference for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature reached 24.4°C on April 29, 2026, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome per market binning rules. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts predicting mild highs around 24°C under stable high-pressure systems, building on April 28's 22°C peak amid a month featuring +2.4°C anomalies above April norms of 15–16°C. Model consensus reflected low volatility in spring conditions over northern France. Post-verification revisions to hourly data are the only realistic challenge, though rare after Infoclimat publication.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on April 29?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$213,342 交易量
$213,342 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$213,342 交易量
$213,342 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 27, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station, a primary reference for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature reached 24.4°C on April 29, 2026, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome per market binning rules. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts predicting mild highs around 24°C under stable high-pressure systems, building on April 28's 22°C peak amid a month featuring +2.4°C anomalies above April norms of 15–16°C. Model consensus reflected low volatility in spring conditions over northern France. Post-verification revisions to hourly data are the only realistic challenge, though rare after Infoclimat publication.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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