Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models show Paris experiencing a peak of 28°C on June 16, 2026, driven by a warm southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating without excessive moisture or instability. This consensus aligns with observed trends, where afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily from morning lows near 18°C under light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in this exact maximum, consistent with historical June patterns and recent model runs showing limited spread. Shifts could occur from localized convective clouds, revised station measurements, or late-day cooling that caps the daily high below or pushes it above the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$150,382 交易量
$150,382 交易量
2026-06-16
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$150,382 交易量
$150,382 交易量
2026-06-16
25°C or below
$19,922 交易量
No
26°C
$24,251 交易量
No
27°C
$40,627 交易量
No
28°C
$15,719 交易量
Yes
29°C
$15,247 交易量
No
30°C
$15,816 交易量
No
31°C
$7,326 交易量
No
32°C
$5,922 交易量
No
33°C
$2,509 交易量
No
34°C
$1,468 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$1,575 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models show Paris experiencing a peak of 28°C on June 16, 2026, driven by a warm southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating without excessive moisture or instability. This consensus aligns with observed trends, where afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily from morning lows near 18°C under light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in this exact maximum, consistent with historical June patterns and recent model runs showing limited spread. Shifts could occur from localized convective clouds, revised station measurements, or late-day cooling that caps the daily high below or pushes it above the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$150,382結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models show Paris experiencing a peak of 28°C on June 16, 2026, driven by a warm southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating without excessive moisture or instability. This consensus aligns with observed trends, where afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily from morning lows near 18°C under light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in this exact maximum, consistent with historical June patterns and recent model runs showing limited spread. Shifts could occur from localized convective clouds, revised station measurements, or late-day cooling that caps the daily high below or pushes it above the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$150,382結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models show Paris experiencing a peak of 28°C on June 16, 2026, driven by a warm southerly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating without excessive moisture or instability. This consensus aligns with observed trends, where afternoon temperatures have climbed steadily from morning lows near 18°C under light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in this exact maximum, consistent with historical June patterns and recent model runs showing limited spread. Shifts could occur from localized convective clouds, revised station measurements, or late-day cooling that caps the daily high below or pushes it above the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions