Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 30°C high in Shenzhen on May 8, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory forecasts projecting a peak of 29–30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport amid persistent overcast skies and moderate to heavy rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong. Morning observations report mid-20s°C with high humidity (around 89%) and scattered showers, suppressing solar heating in line with recent convective outbreaks that capped prior days near 30°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover at 29.5°C. A realistic upset to 31°C or higher would require unexpected afternoon clearing for prolonged insolation, though strengthening rain bands make this improbable; hourly airport readings will track developments into evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 8?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$67,718 交易量
$67,718 交易量
2026-05-08
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$67,718 交易量
$67,718 交易量
2026-05-08
21°C or below
$1,865 交易量
No
22°C
$1,174 交易量
No
23°C
$1,793 交易量
No
24°C
$2,076 交易量
No
25°C
$4,057 交易量
No
26°C
$5,149 交易量
No
27°C
$8,164 交易量
No
28°C
$16,050 交易量
No
29°C
$5,822 交易量
No
30°C
$8,570 交易量
Yes
31°C or higher
$12,997 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 30°C high in Shenzhen on May 8, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory forecasts projecting a peak of 29–30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport amid persistent overcast skies and moderate to heavy rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong. Morning observations report mid-20s°C with high humidity (around 89%) and scattered showers, suppressing solar heating in line with recent convective outbreaks that capped prior days near 30°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover at 29.5°C. A realistic upset to 31°C or higher would require unexpected afternoon clearing for prolonged insolation, though strengthening rain bands make this improbable; hourly airport readings will track developments into evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$67,718結束日期
2026-05-08市場開放時間
May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 30°C high in Shenzhen on May 8, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory forecasts projecting a peak of 29–30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport amid persistent overcast skies and moderate to heavy rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong. Morning observations report mid-20s°C with high humidity (around 89%) and scattered showers, suppressing solar heating in line with recent convective outbreaks that capped prior days near 30°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover at 29.5°C. A realistic upset to 31°C or higher would require unexpected afternoon clearing for prolonged insolation, though strengthening rain bands make this improbable; hourly airport readings will track developments into evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$67,718結束日期
2026-05-08市場開放時間
May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 30°C high in Shenzhen on May 8, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory forecasts projecting a peak of 29–30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport amid persistent overcast skies and moderate to heavy rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong. Morning observations report mid-20s°C with high humidity (around 89%) and scattered showers, suppressing solar heating in line with recent convective outbreaks that capped prior days near 30°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover at 29.5°C. A realistic upset to 31°C or higher would require unexpected afternoon clearing for prolonged insolation, though strengthening rain bands make this improbable; hourly airport readings will track developments into evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions