Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature reached 20°C midday on April 29 under persistent cloudy skies, capping daytime heating despite late-April climatological averages of 20–22°C. Updated forecasts from 17:00 JST reflect limited solar insolation and a passing frontal system steering cooler air, aligning model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles that showed low intensification potential. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 20°C reflects real-time station data from central Tokyo observatories, with sunset near 18:30 JST minimizing any late rebound. Realistic challenges include improbable clearing for a 1°C spike, but inherent forecast uncertainty is now negligible as resolution nears via official JMA records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 29?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 29?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$207,460 交易量
$207,460 交易量
2026-04-29
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$207,460 交易量
$207,460 交易量
2026-04-29
14°C or below
$1,087 交易量
No
15°C
$1,605 交易量
No
16°C
$2,008 交易量
No
17°C
$2,605 交易量
No
18°C
$21,586 交易量
No
19°C
$27,165 交易量
No
20°C
$53,981 交易量
Yes
21°C
$23,016 交易量
No
22°C
$32,266 交易量
No
23°C
$26,788 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$15,352 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature reached 20°C midday on April 29 under persistent cloudy skies, capping daytime heating despite late-April climatological averages of 20–22°C. Updated forecasts from 17:00 JST reflect limited solar insolation and a passing frontal system steering cooler air, aligning model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles that showed low intensification potential. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 20°C reflects real-time station data from central Tokyo observatories, with sunset near 18:30 JST minimizing any late rebound. Realistic challenges include improbable clearing for a 1°C spike, but inherent forecast uncertainty is now negligible as resolution nears via official JMA records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$207,460結束日期
2026-04-29市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature reached 20°C midday on April 29 under persistent cloudy skies, capping daytime heating despite late-April climatological averages of 20–22°C. Updated forecasts from 17:00 JST reflect limited solar insolation and a passing frontal system steering cooler air, aligning model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles that showed low intensification potential. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 20°C reflects real-time station data from central Tokyo observatories, with sunset near 18:30 JST minimizing any late rebound. Realistic challenges include improbable clearing for a 1°C spike, but inherent forecast uncertainty is now negligible as resolution nears via official JMA records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$207,460結束日期
2026-04-29市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature reached 20°C midday on April 29 under persistent cloudy skies, capping daytime heating despite late-April climatological averages of 20–22°C. Updated forecasts from 17:00 JST reflect limited solar insolation and a passing frontal system steering cooler air, aligning model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles that showed low intensification potential. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 20°C reflects real-time station data from central Tokyo observatories, with sunset near 18:30 JST minimizing any late rebound. Realistic challenges include improbable clearing for a 1°C spike, but inherent forecast uncertainty is now negligible as resolution nears via official JMA records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions