Environment Canada’s latest forecast points to a daily maximum near 28°C in Toronto on July 18 amid a 60% chance of showers, placing the outcome squarely in the market’s tight 27–29°C cluster that holds over 66% combined probability. Regional model consensus shows modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with any showers arriving after peak insolation and limiting further warming; this aligns with July climatology of 26–27°C highs while accounting for the slight positive anomaly currently observed. Key variables that could shift the exact peak by 1–2°C include the timing and coverage of cloud breaks versus convective activity, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat-island effects measured at Pearson Airport. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of July 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution on the observed daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月18日多倫多氣溫最高？
7月18日多倫多氣溫最高？
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$121,158 交易量
$121,158 交易量
2026-07-18
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$121,158 交易量
$121,158 交易量
2026-07-18
24°C or below
$14,149 交易量
No
25°C
$18,691 交易量
No
26°C
$10,912 交易量
No
27°C
$9,883 交易量
No
28°C
$15,745 交易量
Yes
29°C
$9,851 交易量
No
30°C
$7,210 交易量
No
31°C
$13,826 交易量
No
32°C
$11,393 交易量
No
33°C
$6,915 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$2,584 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s latest forecast points to a daily maximum near 28°C in Toronto on July 18 amid a 60% chance of showers, placing the outcome squarely in the market’s tight 27–29°C cluster that holds over 66% combined probability. Regional model consensus shows modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with any showers arriving after peak insolation and limiting further warming; this aligns with July climatology of 26–27°C highs while accounting for the slight positive anomaly currently observed. Key variables that could shift the exact peak by 1–2°C include the timing and coverage of cloud breaks versus convective activity, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat-island effects measured at Pearson Airport. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of July 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution on the observed daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$121,158結束日期
2026-07-18市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s latest forecast points to a daily maximum near 28°C in Toronto on July 18 amid a 60% chance of showers, placing the outcome squarely in the market’s tight 27–29°C cluster that holds over 66% combined probability. Regional model consensus shows modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with any showers arriving after peak insolation and limiting further warming; this aligns with July climatology of 26–27°C highs while accounting for the slight positive anomaly currently observed. Key variables that could shift the exact peak by 1–2°C include the timing and coverage of cloud breaks versus convective activity, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat-island effects measured at Pearson Airport. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of July 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution on the observed daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$121,158結束日期
2026-07-18市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Environment Canada’s latest forecast points to a daily maximum near 28°C in Toronto on July 18 amid a 60% chance of showers, placing the outcome squarely in the market’s tight 27–29°C cluster that holds over 66% combined probability. Regional model consensus shows modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with any showers arriving after peak insolation and limiting further warming; this aligns with July climatology of 26–27°C highs while accounting for the slight positive anomaly currently observed. Key variables that could shift the exact peak by 1–2°C include the timing and coverage of cloud breaks versus convective activity, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat-island effects measured at Pearson Airport. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of July 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution on the observed daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions