Current forecasts from meteorological sources indicate a minimum overnight temperature of 26°C in Chengdu on August 27, supporting the market's dominant 98.5% implied probability for that outcome. High humidity near 70-90%, limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and model consensus projecting lows around 25-26°C align with this positioning, consistent with elevated baseline temperatures for late August. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model runs showing little deviation expected before resolution. Scenarios that could realistically alter the result include stronger-than-anticipated thunderstorm activity or rapid radiative cooling if skies clear more than projected, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日成都最低溫？
8月27日成都最低溫？
26°C 100.0%
25°C 1.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$3,072 交易量
$3,072 交易量
2026-08-27
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
25°C 1.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$3,072 交易量
$3,072 交易量
2026-08-27
20°C or below
$35 交易量
No
21°C
$216 交易量
No
22°C
$236 交易量
No
23°C
$100 交易量
No
24°C
$214 交易量
No
25°C
$101 交易量
No
26°C
$1,491 交易量
Yes
27°C
$68 交易量
No
28°C
$53 交易量
No
29°C
$340 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$217 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological sources indicate a minimum overnight temperature of 26°C in Chengdu on August 27, supporting the market's dominant 98.5% implied probability for that outcome. High humidity near 70-90%, limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and model consensus projecting lows around 25-26°C align with this positioning, consistent with elevated baseline temperatures for late August. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model runs showing little deviation expected before resolution. Scenarios that could realistically alter the result include stronger-than-anticipated thunderstorm activity or rapid radiative cooling if skies clear more than projected, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,072結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological sources indicate a minimum overnight temperature of 26°C in Chengdu on August 27, supporting the market's dominant 98.5% implied probability for that outcome. High humidity near 70-90%, limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and model consensus projecting lows around 25-26°C align with this positioning, consistent with elevated baseline temperatures for late August. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model runs showing little deviation expected before resolution. Scenarios that could realistically alter the result include stronger-than-anticipated thunderstorm activity or rapid radiative cooling if skies clear more than projected, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,072結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from meteorological sources indicate a minimum overnight temperature of 26°C in Chengdu on August 27, supporting the market's dominant 98.5% implied probability for that outcome. High humidity near 70-90%, limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and model consensus projecting lows around 25-26°C align with this positioning, consistent with elevated baseline temperatures for late August. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model runs showing little deviation expected before resolution. Scenarios that could realistically alter the result include stronger-than-anticipated thunderstorm activity or rapid radiative cooling if skies clear more than projected, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions