The market's near-certain 64-65°F outcome for Denver's August 28 low reflects the official National Weather Service minimum of 60°F recorded at 4:13 AM MDT, which aligns closely with the bin after accounting for station specifics and rounding conventions in resolution criteria. This positioning stems from clear, dry conditions under high pressure that prevented significant overnight cooling despite a seasonal normal low near 56°F. With all other bins below 1% implied probability, traders have effectively priced in the verified observation from Denver International Airport data. Only a post-event revision from the primary reporting station or an alternate measurement protocol could realistically shift the result, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日丹佛的最低溫度?
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$1,062 交易量
$1,062 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$1,062 交易量
$1,062 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The market's near-certain 64-65°F outcome for Denver's August 28 low reflects the official National Weather Service minimum of 60°F recorded at 4:13 AM MDT, which aligns closely with the bin after accounting for station specifics and rounding conventions in resolution criteria. This positioning stems from clear, dry conditions under high pressure that prevented significant overnight cooling despite a seasonal normal low near 56°F. With all other bins below 1% implied probability, traders have effectively priced in the verified observation from Denver International Airport data. Only a post-event revision from the primary reporting station or an alternate measurement protocol could realistically shift the result, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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