**Trader consensus strongly favors a 76-77°F low in Miami on August 24, 2026, at 92.8% implied probability.** Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a minimum of 77°F, matching the long-term seasonal average low of approximately 77-78°F for that date. This outcome reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions: high humidity, light variable winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. No tropical systems, strong cold fronts, or anomalous atmospheric patterns disrupted the pattern, keeping temperatures near climatological norms with daytime highs reaching 91°F. Authoritative National Weather Service data and station reports confirm the reading, giving traders high confidence in the resolution criteria. Only highly unlikely events—such as station measurement discrepancies or an unforeseen microclimate shift—could alter the outcome at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月24日邁阿密的最低溫度？
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$9,335 交易量
$9,335 交易量
2026-08-24
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
否
88°F或以上
否
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$9,335 交易量
$9,335 交易量
2026-08-24
69°F or below
$130 交易量
No
70-71°F
$679 交易量
No
72-73°F
$1,586 交易量
No
74-75°F
$868 交易量
No
76-77°F
$1,189 交易量
Yes
78-79°F
$2,238 交易量
No
80-81°F
$1,052 交易量
No
82-83°F
$906 交易量
No
84-85°F
$189 交易量
No
86-87°F
$299 交易量
否
88°F或以上
$199 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 76-77°F low in Miami on August 24, 2026, at 92.8% implied probability.** Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a minimum of 77°F, matching the long-term seasonal average low of approximately 77-78°F for that date.
This outcome reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions: high humidity, light variable winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. No tropical systems, strong cold fronts, or anomalous atmospheric patterns disrupted the pattern, keeping temperatures near climatological norms with daytime highs reaching 91°F.
Authoritative National Weather Service data and station reports confirm the reading, giving traders high confidence in the resolution criteria. Only highly unlikely events—such as station measurement discrepancies or an unforeseen microclimate shift—could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$9,335結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 76-77°F low in Miami on August 24, 2026, at 92.8% implied probability.** Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a minimum of 77°F, matching the long-term seasonal average low of approximately 77-78°F for that date.
This outcome reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions: high humidity, light variable winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. No tropical systems, strong cold fronts, or anomalous atmospheric patterns disrupted the pattern, keeping temperatures near climatological norms with daytime highs reaching 91°F.
Authoritative National Weather Service data and station reports confirm the reading, giving traders high confidence in the resolution criteria. Only highly unlikely events—such as station measurement discrepancies or an unforeseen microclimate shift—could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,335結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 76-77°F low in Miami on August 24, 2026, at 92.8% implied probability.** Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a minimum of 77°F, matching the long-term seasonal average low of approximately 77-78°F for that date. This outcome reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions: high humidity, light variable winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. No tropical systems, strong cold fronts, or anomalous atmospheric patterns disrupted the pattern, keeping temperatures near climatological norms with daytime highs reaching 91°F. Authoritative National Weather Service data and station reports confirm the reading, giving traders high confidence in the resolution criteria. Only highly unlikely events—such as station measurement discrepancies or an unforeseen microclimate shift—could alter the outcome at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions