Recent official observations confirm Hong Kong reached a daily maximum of 32°C on June 7, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with early-summer subtropical patterns, where daytime highs typically range from 30–33°C under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity. Long-term climatology from the Hong Kong Observatory shows average June maxima near 31°C, with 32°C falling comfortably within normal variability rather than an extreme outlier. Forecast models from regional agencies converged on this range ahead of the date, and post-event verification leaves little room for revision. Only an unprecedented data correction or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 7?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$200,676 交易量
$200,676 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$200,676 交易量
$200,676 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jun 6, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent official observations confirm Hong Kong reached a daily maximum of 32°C on June 7, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with early-summer subtropical patterns, where daytime highs typically range from 30–33°C under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity. Long-term climatology from the Hong Kong Observatory shows average June maxima near 31°C, with 32°C falling comfortably within normal variability rather than an extreme outlier. Forecast models from regional agencies converged on this range ahead of the date, and post-event verification leaves little room for revision. Only an unprecedented data correction or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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